TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125277
Played Sep 13Finished
Grzegorz Sawicki
Home
1.88
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811911114119118
Rafal Adach
Away
1.76
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:52 and never touched — 58.4% is still 58.4%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Sawicki to win
58.4%
58.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
811911114119118
H2H Grzegorz Sawicki 17–10 Rafal Adach Rafal Adach has won 10 of their 27 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Adach beat Sawicki 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:52What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (52%)
Adach
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-10 in 27
Sawicki
Correct
gap of 7 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sawicki 1228 vs Adach 1271
Adach
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sawicki 40% vs Adach 60%
Adach
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sawicki 40% vs Adach 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sawicki +1 · Adach +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Adach) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sawicki form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSawicki 1.88 / Adach 1.76
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Adach)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13125277
Sawicki1.88
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 127 of 385
Down 0–1, comes back18% 46 of 253
Down 0–2, comes back7% 11 of 162
Adach1.76
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 40 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it81% 25 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it66% 33 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSawicki6wins
AwayAdach4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSawicki leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSawickin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayAdach50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sawicki2Adach8n = 10Adach took 8 of 10
S2Sawicki5Adach5n = 10split evenly
S3Sawicki4Adach6n = 10Adach took 6 of 10
S4Sawicki5Adach4n = 9Sawicki took 5 of 9
S5Sawicki5Adach0n = 5Sawicki took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSawickiAdachS − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match42.841.9+0.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSawickiAdachBasisWin rate · lifetime356 / 906 vs 240 / 57839.3%41.5%356 / 906 vs 240 / 578Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.934.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdachSawicki 1.88/Adach 1.76
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Adach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sawicki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 15:10G. Sawicki31591161R. Adach4111118113
WSep 6 · 16:25G. Sawicki521113611113R. Adach51131111792
WJun 27 · 23:30G. Sawicki507111011113R. Adach4011712732
WJun 27 · 19:10G. Sawicki4011711113R. Adach35811881
WMay 31 · 02:20G. Sawicki521111118113R. Adach4213751162
WMay 30 · 18:20G. Sawicki461131011113R. Adach4281112832
WMay 30 · 06:45G. Sawicki551015811113R. Adach50121311772
LMay 9 · 06:25G. Sawicki4110118121R. Adach4312611143
LApr 26 · 04:40G. Sawicki34981161R. Adach4011117113
LApr 25 · 22:40G. Sawicki2797110R. Adach351111133
G. Sawicki10
WSep 13 · 22:00R. Ogon2.42812861G. Sawicki1.46111011113LSep 13 · 20:45G. Sawicki3.658111151P. Polok1.2111913113LSep 13 · 19:10G. Sawicki2.90914951K. Juszczyk1.33111211113LSep 13 · 18:00G. Sawicki2.50811631S. Krupa1.4211911113WSep 13 · 16:25G. Sawicki1.49111110123R. Ogon2.346812101LSep 13 · 15:10G. Sawicki1.85591161R. Adach1.7911118113WSep 13 · 04:40A. Szurgot2.754990G. Sawicki1.371111113LSep 13 · 03:55K. Schaniel1.471111711113G. Sawicki2.5081311772WSep 13 · 01:55R. Szymik1.558118131G. Sawicki2.3011911153LSep 13 · 01:10R. Wiza1.771691110113G. Sawicki1.87141161262
R. Adach10
WSep 13 · 21:10I. Szymanski2.107680R. Adach1.651111113LSep 13 · 20:20S. Krupa1.451111113R. Adach2.432250LSep 13 · 19:35P. Polok1.241311143R. Adach3.40115120WSep 13 · 17:35R. Ogon2.501161031R. Adach1.4691112113WSep 13 · 16:50K. Juszczyk1.3571560R. Adach2.801117113WSep 13 · 15:10G. Sawicki1.85591161R. Adach1.7911118113LSep 6 · 20:45R. Adach1.83114841W. Jozala1.8671111113LSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113
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