TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13134323
Played Sep 15Finished
Jan Orszulik
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171159118111210
Piotr Kaczynski
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:29 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Kaczynski to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
1171159118111210
H2H Jan Orszulik 1–1 Piotr Kaczynski Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:29What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Orszulik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Orszulik 1407 vs Kaczynski 1420
Kaczynski
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Orszulik 80% vs Kaczynski 40%
Orszulik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Orszulik 80% vs Kaczynski 50%
Orszulik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Orszulik -1 · Kaczynski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Orszulik) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaczynski form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOrszulik 1.80 / Kaczynski 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Orszulik)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13134323
Orszulik1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite58% won 41 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it80% 37 of 46
Kaczynski1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 26 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back24% 10 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeOrszulik1wins
AwayKaczynski1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricOrszulikKaczynskiO − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match39.537.5+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOrszulikKaczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 245 vs 208 / 38746.9%53.8%115 / 245 vs 208 / 387Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OrszulikOrszulik 1.80/Kaczynski 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Orszulik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Orszulik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJun 9 · 16:50J. Orszulik4211119113P. Kaczynski28811181
LFeb 17 · 18:10J. Orszulik3711114562P. Kaczynski47681111113
J. Orszulik10
LSep 15 · 18:45J. Orszulik2.42116361M. Tkocz1.4641111113WSep 15 · 17:35J. Orszulik1.8511119123K. Juszczyk1.857811101WSep 15 · 16:25R. Adach2.5047100J. Orszulik1.501111123WSep 15 · 15:35J. Orszulik2.601211113P. Polok1.4110980WSep 12 · 05:05J. Badura1.783350J. Orszulik1.851111113WSep 12 · 03:55J. Orszulik1.2481111113A. Szurgot3.40115151LSep 12 · 02:45R. Wiza2.20912513113J. Orszulik1.551110111132WSep 12 · 01:30J. Michalski2.9011670J. Orszulik1.321311113WSep 11 · 23:55R. Szymik1.855540J. Orszulik1.801111113WSep 11 · 23:05R. Wiza2.203860J. Orszulik1.551111113
P. Kaczynski10
WSep 15 · 19:10R. Adach2.856860P. Kaczynski1.341111113LSep 15 · 18:25P. Kaczynski2.255127111P. Polok1.54111011133WSep 15 · 16:50P. Kaczynski1.851111106113K. Juszczyk1.8584121162LSep 15 · 16:00M. Tkocz1.63811911113P. Kaczynski2.0511911492LSep 8 · 20:45W. Pytlas1.83151311113P. Kaczynski1.831711531LSep 8 · 19:35P. Kaczynski1.8651211982K. Juszczyk1.801110911113WSep 8 · 18:25S. Juzek2.341112851P. Kaczynski1.4981411113LSep 8 · 17:10R. Gajda2.008111111123P. Kaczynski1.70113139102WSep 8 · 15:35M. Tkocz1.6091141142P. Kaczynski2.20118118113WSep 1 · 20:45P. Kaczynski1.36118811113R. Adach2.8051111742
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.