TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13133344
Played Sep 15Finished
Piotr Kaczynski
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181141012611116
Krzysztof Juszczyk
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Juszczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
1181141012611116
H2H Piotr Kaczynski 5–3 Krzysztof Juszczyk Krzysztof Juszczyk has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:27What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Juszczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Kaczynski
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaczynski 1411 vs Juszczyk 1447
Juszczyk
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaczynski 20% vs Juszczyk 60%
Juszczyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaczynski 40% vs Juszczyk 60%
Juszczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaczynski -3 · Juszczyk +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kaczynski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaczynski form (20%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaczynski 1.85 / Juszczyk 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kaczynski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13133344
Kaczynski1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Juszczyk1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKaczynski5wins
AwayJuszczyk3wins
2 of 8 to a deciderKaczynski leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaczynski100%4 of 4
AwayJuszczyk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaczynski4Juszczyk4n = 8split evenly
S2Kaczynski6Juszczyk2n = 8Kaczynski took 6 of 8
S3Kaczynski3Juszczyk5n = 8Juszczyk took 5 of 8
S4Kaczynski4Juszczyk2n = 6Kaczynski took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricKaczynskiJuszczykK − JBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match38.039.0−1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaczynskiJuszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 384 vs 655 / 121853.7%53.8%206 / 384 vs 655 / 1218Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaczynskiKaczynski 1.85/Juszczyk 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kaczynski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kaczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 8 · 19:35P. Kaczynski4551211982K. Juszczyk521110911113
WAug 18 · 17:35P. Kaczynski3811124113K. Juszczyk378101181
LJul 14 · 20:20P. Kaczynski28611561K. Juszczyk4111811113
LApr 12 · 03:10P. Kaczynski165470K. Juszczyk331111113
WMar 17 · 20:35P. Kaczynski541371111123K. Juszczyk51151169102
WDec 11 · 19:00P. Kaczynski4111118113K. Juszczyk33671191
WDec 2 · 21:20P. Kaczynski371115113K. Juszczyk2791350
WOct 2 · 20:00P. Kaczynski45111110133K. Juszczyk386912111
P. Kaczynski10
LSep 15 · 20:00J. Orszulik1.80111198123P. Kaczynski1.90751111102WSep 15 · 19:10R. Adach2.856860P. Kaczynski1.341111113LSep 15 · 18:25P. Kaczynski2.255127111P. Polok1.54111011133LSep 15 · 16:00M. Tkocz1.63811911113P. Kaczynski2.0511911492LSep 8 · 20:45W. Pytlas1.83151311113P. Kaczynski1.831711531LSep 8 · 19:35P. Kaczynski1.8651211982K. Juszczyk1.801110911113WSep 8 · 18:25S. Juzek2.341112851P. Kaczynski1.4981411113LSep 8 · 17:10R. Gajda2.008111111123P. Kaczynski1.70113139102WSep 8 · 15:35M. Tkocz1.6091141142P. Kaczynski2.20118118113WSep 1 · 20:45P. Kaczynski1.36118811113R. Adach2.8051111742
K. Juszczyk10
LSep 15 · 20:20M. Tkocz1.77111111113K. Juszczyk1.93137541LSep 15 · 19:35P. Polok1.751115113K. Juszczyk1.9861370LSep 15 · 17:35J. Orszulik1.8511119123K. Juszczyk1.857811101WSep 15 · 15:10R. Adach2.7561251162K. Juszczyk1.351110118113WSep 13 · 20:00R. Ogon3.756850K. Juszczyk1.221111113WSep 13 · 19:10G. Sawicki2.90914951K. Juszczyk1.33111211113LSep 13 · 18:25K. Juszczyk1.9511870P. Polok1.751311113LSep 13 · 16:50K. Juszczyk1.3571560R. Adach2.801117113WSep 13 · 16:00S. Krupa2.10911881K. Juszczyk1.6511711113WSep 8 · 19:35P. Kaczynski1.8651211982K. Juszczyk1.801110911113
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