TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13134319
Played Sep 15Finished
Marek Tkocz
Home
1.77
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113117115114––
Krzysztof Juszczyk
Away
1.93
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Tkocz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
1113117115114––
H2H Marek Tkocz 10–11 Krzysztof Juszczyk Marek Tkocz has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:28What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.77 (52%)
Tkocz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-11 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkocz 1396 vs Juszczyk 1409
Juszczyk
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkocz 60% vs Juszczyk 40%
Tkocz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkocz 60% vs Juszczyk 40%
Tkocz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkocz +2 · Juszczyk -3
Juszczyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tkocz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juszczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkocz 1.77 / Juszczyk 1.93
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tkocz)+1.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13134319
Tkocz1.77
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 300 of 447
Up 2–0, closes it95% 171 of 181
Up 1–0, closes it84% 247 of 295
Juszczyk1.93
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 90 of 215
Down 0–1, comes back28% 31 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTkocz6wins
AwayJuszczyk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTkocz leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkocz85.7%6 of 7
AwayJuszczyk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkocz7Juszczyk3n = 10Tkocz took 7 of 10
S2Tkocz7Juszczyk3n = 10Tkocz took 7 of 10
S3Tkocz4Juszczyk6n = 10Juszczyk took 6 of 10
S4Tkocz2Juszczyk4n = 6Juszczyk took 4 of 6
S5Tkocz2Juszczyk1n = 3Tkocz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTkoczJuszczykT − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.032.6+3.4per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkoczJuszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime769 / 1157 vs 655 / 122166.5%53.6%769 / 1157 vs 655 / 1221Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkoczTkocz 1.77/Juszczyk 1.93
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tkocz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tkocz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 23:35M. Tkocz2021080K. Juszczyk341112113
WAug 27 · 17:35M. Tkocz45111175113K. Juszczyk3356111102
LAug 20 · 19:35M. Tkocz36118981K. Juszczyk4291111113
LAug 18 · 15:35M. Tkocz36811891K. Juszczyk3811511113
WAug 13 · 20:20M. Tkocz4211128113K. Juszczyk313101171
LAug 6 · 17:35M. Tkocz3981111632K. Juszczyk49118811113
WJun 18 · 20:20M. Tkocz43113711113K. Juszczyk4591111682
WMar 16 · 02:35M. Tkocz331111113K. Juszczyk158430
WMar 15 · 20:35M. Tkocz331111113K. Juszczyk205780
WJan 25 · 05:20M. Tkocz331111113K. Juszczyk199460
M. Tkocz10
WSep 15 · 18:45J. Orszulik2.42116361M. Tkocz1.4641111113WSep 15 · 18:00R. Adach3.3536110M. Tkocz1.251111133LSep 15 · 17:10M. Tkocz1.858131171P. Polok1.8511159113WSep 15 · 16:00M. Tkocz1.63811911113P. Kaczynski2.0511911492LSep 11 · 02:00M. Tkocz1.7167140P. Brozek2.001111163LSep 11 · 24:45M. Tkocz1.80491115112K. Durak1.901111813133WSep 10 · 23:35M. Tkocz1.2011911113R. Komandzik3.90711311WSep 10 · 22:25M. Lebek1.9013101131M. Tkocz1.76111213113WSep 10 · 21:35M. Tkocz1.341112113J. Nowak2.8581090LSep 10 · 20:20K. Durak1.8011116123M. Tkocz1.907611101
K. Juszczyk10
LSep 15 · 19:35P. Polok1.751115113K. Juszczyk1.9861370LSep 15 · 17:35J. Orszulik1.8511119123K. Juszczyk1.857811101LSep 15 · 16:50P. Kaczynski1.851111106113K. Juszczyk1.8584121162WSep 15 · 15:10R. Adach2.7561251162K. Juszczyk1.351110118113WSep 13 · 20:00R. Ogon3.756850K. Juszczyk1.221111113WSep 13 · 19:10G. Sawicki2.90914951K. Juszczyk1.33111211113LSep 13 · 18:25K. Juszczyk1.9511870P. Polok1.751311113LSep 13 · 16:50K. Juszczyk1.3571560R. Adach2.801117113WSep 13 · 16:00S. Krupa2.10911881K. Juszczyk1.6511711113LSep 13 · 08:20M. Adamus2.101211113K. Juszczyk1.6010670
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