TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13134327
Played Sep 15Finished
Pawel Polok
Home
1.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161513117––––
Krzysztof Juszczyk
Away
1.98
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:29 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timePawel Polok to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
63 points played in total.
Set by set
1161513117––––
H2H Pawel Polok 1–3 Krzysztof Juszczyk Pawel Polok has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:29What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Polok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Juszczyk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polok 1511 vs Juszczyk 1420
Polok
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polok 80% vs Juszczyk 60%
Polok
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polok 80% vs Juszczyk 50%
Polok
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Polok +2 · Juszczyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Polok) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polok form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolok 1.75 / Juszczyk 1.98
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Polok)+0.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13134327
Polok1.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite67% won 76 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it84% 62 of 74
Juszczyk1.98
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 90 of 215
Down 0–1, comes back28% 31 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomePolok1wins
AwayJuszczyk3wins
Juszczyk leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolokn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayJuszczyk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polok1Juszczyk3n = 4Juszczyk took 3 of 4
S2Polok1Juszczyk3n = 4Juszczyk took 3 of 4
S3Polok2Juszczyk2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricPolokJuszczykP − JBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match26.233.5−7.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolokJuszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 178 vs 655 / 122065.2%53.7%116 / 178 vs 655 / 1220Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolokPolok 1.75/Juszczyk 1.98
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Polok · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Polok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 13 · 18:25P. Polok351311113K. Juszczyk2611870
LAug 30 · 02:20P. Polok146440K. Juszczyk331111113
LAug 29 · 18:20P. Polok311061141K. Juszczyk4212118113
LAug 16 · 03:25P. Polok258890K. Juszczyk331111113
P. Polok10
WSep 15 · 18:25P. Kaczynski2.255127111P. Polok1.54111011133WSep 15 · 17:10M. Tkocz1.858131171P. Polok1.8511159113LSep 15 · 15:35J. Orszulik2.601211113P. Polok1.4110980WSep 14 · 02:45I. Szymanski4.708460P. Polok1.131111113WSep 14 · 01:35P. Polok1.271211113R. Adach3.3010940LSep 14 · 24:25G. Sawicki3.65616115113P. Polok1.21111451172WSep 13 · 23:10R. Ogon5.00113118102P. Polok1.12811911123WSep 13 · 21:35S. Krupa2.50419211162P. Polok1.471117119183WSep 13 · 20:45G. Sawicki3.658111151P. Polok1.2111913113WSep 13 · 19:35P. Polok1.241311143R. Adach3.40115120
K. Juszczyk10
LSep 15 · 20:20M. Tkocz1.77111111113K. Juszczyk1.93137541LSep 15 · 17:35J. Orszulik1.8511119123K. Juszczyk1.857811101LSep 15 · 16:50P. Kaczynski1.851111106113K. Juszczyk1.8584121162WSep 15 · 15:10R. Adach2.7561251162K. Juszczyk1.351110118113WSep 13 · 20:00R. Ogon3.756850K. Juszczyk1.221111113WSep 13 · 19:10G. Sawicki2.90914951K. Juszczyk1.33111211113LSep 13 · 18:25K. Juszczyk1.9511870P. Polok1.751311113LSep 13 · 16:50K. Juszczyk1.3571560R. Adach2.801117113WSep 13 · 16:00S. Krupa2.10911881K. Juszczyk1.6511711113LSep 13 · 08:20M. Adamus2.101211113K. Juszczyk1.6010670
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.