TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13133609
Played Sep 15Finished
Jan Orszulik
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171189111210––
Krzysztof Juszczyk
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Orszulik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
1171189111210––
H2H Jan Orszulik 1–1 Krzysztof Juszczyk Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:36What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Juszczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Orszulik 1407 vs Juszczyk 1434
Juszczyk
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Orszulik 80% vs Juszczyk 60%
Orszulik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Orszulik 80% vs Juszczyk 60%
Orszulik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Orszulik +4 · Juszczyk -1
Orszulik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Orszulik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Orszulik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOrszulik 1.85 / Juszczyk 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Orszulik)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13133609
Orszulik1.85
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Juszczyk1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeOrszulik1wins
AwayJuszczyk1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricOrszulikJuszczykO − JBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match38.035.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOrszulikJuszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 243 vs 655 / 121946.9%53.7%114 / 243 vs 655 / 1219Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.636.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OrszulikOrszulik 1.85/Juszczyk 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Orszulik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Orszulik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 13 · 17:35J. Orszulik35134991K. Juszczyk44111111113
WDec 18 · 17:25J. Orszulik4111811113K. Juszczyk26711621
J. Orszulik10
LSep 15 · 18:45J. Orszulik2.42116361M. Tkocz1.4641111113WSep 15 · 16:25R. Adach2.5047100J. Orszulik1.501111123WSep 15 · 15:35J. Orszulik2.601211113P. Polok1.4110980WSep 12 · 05:05J. Badura1.783350J. Orszulik1.851111113WSep 12 · 03:55J. Orszulik1.2481111113A. Szurgot3.40115151LSep 12 · 02:45R. Wiza2.20912513113J. Orszulik1.551110111132WSep 12 · 01:30J. Michalski2.9011670J. Orszulik1.321311113WSep 11 · 23:55R. Szymik1.855540J. Orszulik1.801111113WSep 11 · 23:05R. Wiza2.203860J. Orszulik1.551111113WSep 11 · 21:55J. Orszulik1.301181110133A. Szurgot3.20411912112
K. Juszczyk10
LSep 15 · 16:50P. Kaczynski1.851111106113K. Juszczyk1.8584121162WSep 15 · 15:10R. Adach2.7561251162K. Juszczyk1.351110118113WSep 13 · 20:00R. Ogon3.756850K. Juszczyk1.221111113WSep 13 · 19:10G. Sawicki2.90914951K. Juszczyk1.33111211113LSep 13 · 18:25K. Juszczyk1.9511870P. Polok1.751311113LSep 13 · 16:50K. Juszczyk1.3571560R. Adach2.801117113WSep 13 · 16:00S. Krupa2.10911881K. Juszczyk1.6511711113LSep 13 · 08:20M. Adamus2.101211113K. Juszczyk1.6010670WSep 13 · 07:35I. Szymanski3.856780K. Juszczyk1.191111113WSep 13 · 05:35T. Lojtek2.855670K. Juszczyk1.351111113
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