TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13134334
Played Sep 15Finished
Jan Orszulik
Home
2.42
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114611311611––
Marek Tkocz
Away
1.46
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:31 and never touched — 63.2% is still 63.2%
Graded at full timeMarek Tkocz to win
63.2%
63.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
63 points played in total.
Set by set
114611311611––
H2H Jan Orszulik 12–17 Marek Tkocz Jan Orszulik has won 12 of their 29 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:31What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (62%)
Tkocz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-17 in 29
Tkocz
Correct
gap of 5 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Orszulik 1420 vs Tkocz 1383
Orszulik
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Orszulik 100% vs Tkocz 40%
Orszulik
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Orszulik 90% vs Tkocz 50%
Orszulik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Orszulik +5 · Tkocz +1
Orszulik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Tkocz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkocz form (40%) is below what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOrszulik 2.42 / Tkocz 1.46
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Tkocz)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13134334
Orszulik2.42
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog38% won 27 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Tkocz1.46
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 300 of 447
Up 2–0, closes it95% 171 of 181
Up 1–0, closes it84% 247 of 295
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOrszulik5wins
AwayTkocz5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOrszulik100%3 of 3
AwayTkocz71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Orszulik3Tkocz7n = 10Tkocz took 7 of 10
S2Orszulik2Tkocz8n = 10Tkocz took 8 of 10
S3Orszulik9Tkocz1n = 10Orszulik took 9 of 10
S4Orszulik3Tkocz6n = 9Tkocz took 6 of 9
S5Orszulik4Tkocz2n = 6Orszulik took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOrszulikTkoczO − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.043.6−2.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOrszulikTkoczBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 244 vs 768 / 115647.1%66.4%115 / 244 vs 768 / 1156Avg sets wonper match1.92.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.739.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkoczOrszulik 2.42/Tkocz 1.46
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.2%
Tkocz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tkocz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 14 · 24:45J. Orszulik4175111172M. Tkocz48111169113
WAug 13 · 18:45J. Orszulik5411111110113M. Tkocz4813881272
LJul 3 · 05:10J. Orszulik123360M. Tkocz331111113
WJul 2 · 23:10J. Orszulik47951111113M. Tkocz4011112792
WJun 10 · 24:00J. Orszulik491161110113M. Tkocz4651191292
LJun 9 · 16:00J. Orszulik409511151M. Tkocz4711118173
LMay 27 · 06:45J. Orszulik49912121332M. Tkocz5711101015113
WMay 26 · 21:10J. Orszulik481110115113M. Tkocz4461261192
WMay 13 · 08:00J. Orszulik4111811113M. Tkocz31911471
LMay 12 · 21:10J. Orszulik291511121M. Tkocz4211116143
J. Orszulik10
WSep 16 · 02:00J. Orszulik2.2511511113M. Tkocz1.55411971LSep 16 · 24:45J. Orszulik2.458770P. Polok1.491111113LSep 15 · 23:35J. Orszulik1.908760M. Lebek1.801111113LSep 15 · 22:25S. Szostok1.90315611113J. Orszulik1.80111311862WSep 15 · 21:35J. Orszulik1.161111113K. Kowalski4.208870WSep 15 · 20:00J. Orszulik1.80111198123P. Kaczynski1.90751111102WSep 15 · 17:35J. Orszulik1.8511119123K. Juszczyk1.857811101WSep 15 · 16:25R. Adach2.5047100J. Orszulik1.501111123WSep 15 · 15:35J. Orszulik2.601211113P. Polok1.4110980WSep 12 · 05:05J. Badura1.783350J. Orszulik1.851111113
M. Tkocz10
LSep 16 · 02:00J. Orszulik2.2511511113M. Tkocz1.55411971LSep 16 · 01:10S. Szostok1.8611125113M. Tkocz1.837101171WSep 16 · 24:25M. Tkocz1.1071111123K. Kowalski5.401145101LSep 15 · 22:50M. Tkocz1.746680M. Lebek1.951111113WSep 15 · 22:00P. Polok1.806111071M. Tkocz1.9111712113WSep 15 · 20:20M. Tkocz1.77111111113K. Juszczyk1.93137541WSep 15 · 18:00R. Adach3.3536110M. Tkocz1.251111133LSep 15 · 17:10M. Tkocz1.858131171P. Polok1.8511159113WSep 15 · 16:00M. Tkocz1.63811911113P. Kaczynski2.0511911492LSep 11 · 02:00M. Tkocz1.7167140P. Brozek2.001111163
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