TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13134886
Played Sep 15Finished
Jan Orszulik
Home
1.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711611––––
Marian Lebek
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarian Lebek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
811711611––––
H2H Jan Orszulik 7–10 Marian Lebek Jan Orszulik has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:47What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Lebek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-10 in 17
Lebek
Correct
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Orszulik 1412 vs Lebek 1401
Orszulik
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Orszulik 60% vs Lebek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Orszulik 70% vs Lebek 50%
Orszulik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Orszulik -1 · Lebek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Orszulik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOrszulik 1.90 / Lebek 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Orszulik)+5.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13134886
Orszulik1.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog38% won 27 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Lebek1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 238 of 381
Up 2–0, closes it96% 158 of 164
Up 1–0, closes it82% 209 of 255
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOrszulik3wins
AwayLebek7wins
Lebek leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOrszulik66.7%2 of 3
AwayLebek85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Orszulik3Lebek7n = 10Lebek took 7 of 10
S2Orszulik4Lebek6n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10
S3Orszulik4Lebek6n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10
S4Orszulik1Lebek3n = 4Lebek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricOrszulikLebekO − LBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.434.6−4.2per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOrszulikLebekBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 248 vs 838 / 144147.2%58.2%117 / 248 vs 838 / 1441Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.737.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OrszulikOrszulik 1.90/Lebek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Orszulik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lebek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 22:25J. Orszulik28711641M. Lebek3911611113
LJul 17 · 04:50J. Orszulik361051471M. Lebek46121112113
WJul 16 · 22:50J. Orszulik361111143M. Lebek2347120
LJul 3 · 03:35J. Orszulik2871290M. Lebek361114113
WJul 2 · 21:35J. Orszulik3941311113M. Lebek381111791
LJun 9 · 22:25J. Orszulik2495100M. Lebek341111123
LMar 27 · 02:35J. Orszulik204790M. Lebek331111113
WMar 13 · 03:20J. Orszulik341111123M. Lebek2679100
LMar 4 · 05:00J. Orszulik36118891M. Lebek3851111113
LMar 4 · 01:00J. Orszulik239770M. Lebek331111113
J. Orszulik10
LSep 16 · 24:45J. Orszulik2.458770P. Polok1.491111113LSep 15 · 22:25S. Szostok1.90315611113J. Orszulik1.80111311862WSep 15 · 21:35J. Orszulik1.161111113K. Kowalski4.208870WSep 15 · 20:00J. Orszulik1.80111198123P. Kaczynski1.90751111102LSep 15 · 18:45J. Orszulik2.42116361M. Tkocz1.4641111113WSep 15 · 17:35J. Orszulik1.8511119123K. Juszczyk1.857811101WSep 15 · 16:25R. Adach2.5047100J. Orszulik1.501111123WSep 15 · 15:35J. Orszulik2.601211113P. Polok1.4110980WSep 12 · 05:05J. Badura1.783350J. Orszulik1.851111113WSep 12 · 03:55J. Orszulik1.2481111113A. Szurgot3.40115151
M. Lebek10
WSep 15 · 22:50M. Tkocz1.746680M. Lebek1.951111113LSep 15 · 21:10S. Szostok1.711111113M. Lebek2.009990WSep 11 · 08:00R. Idaczyk2.353690M. Lebek1.501111113WSep 11 · 07:10Y. Fomin2.20471161M. Lebek1.5711115113LSep 11 · 06:25M. Lebek1.37111181082J. Nowak2.70691112113LSep 11 · 04:50M. Lebek1.16911771R. Komandzik4.3511311113WSep 11 · 04:00M. Adamus2.35781181M. Lebek1.5011118113WSep 11 · 02:45M. Lebek1.421111133J. Nowak2.6086110LSep 11 · 01:10M. Lebek1.7410670P. Brozek1.911211113LSep 11 · 24:00M. Lebek1.90116371K. Durak1.8071111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Orszulik
M. Lebek
Sep 16 · 01:35M. Lebek1.09K. Kowalski5.45—Sep 16 · 02:20M. Lebek2.09P. Polok1.61—Sep 16 · 03:10M. Lebek1.33J. Kaczmarek2.85—Sep 16 · 04:50M. Lebek1.95S. Szostok1.70—Sep 16 · 05:35M. Lebek1.42P. Mecik2.55—Sep 16 · 07:35M. Lebek1.09K. Kowalski5.40—Sep 16 · 08:20M. Lebek1.56M. Paszkiewicz2.19—Sep 16 · 21:10M. Lebek—O. Jadach——Sep 16 · 22:50M. Lebek—P. Adamus——Sep 17 · 02:20M. Lebek—J. Pruszkowski——
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