TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13133607
Played Sep 15Finished
Rafal Adach
Home
3.35
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3116111113––––
Marek Tkocz
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:36 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeMarek Tkocz to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
3116111113––––
H2H Rafal Adach 0–4 Marek Tkocz Rafal Adach has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:36What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (73%)
Tkocz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Tkocz
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adach 1206 vs Tkocz 1375
Tkocz
Correct
both rated, 169 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adach 0% vs Tkocz 40%
Tkocz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adach 20% vs Tkocz 40%
Tkocz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adach -5 · Tkocz -1
Adach
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Tkocz) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkocz form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdach 3.35 / Tkocz 1.25
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Tkocz)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13133607
Adach3.35
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog33% won 82 of 248
Down 0–1, comes back15% 22 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 90
Tkocz1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite67% won 300 of 447
Up 2–0, closes it95% 171 of 181
Up 1–0, closes it84% 247 of 295
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeAdach0wins
AwayTkocz4wins
Tkocz leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdachn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayTkocz100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adach0Tkocz4n = 4Tkocz took 4 of 4
S2Adach3Tkocz1n = 4Adach took 3 of 4
S3Adach0Tkocz4n = 4Tkocz took 4 of 4
S4Adach0Tkocz3n = 3Tkocz took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away375%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricAdachTkoczA − TBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match23.839.2−15.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdachTkoczBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 578 vs 767 / 115541%66.4%237 / 578 vs 767 / 1155Avg sets wonper match1.82.4per matchAvg pointsper match34.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkoczAdach 3.35/Tkocz 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.6%
Tkocz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tkocz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 1 · 19:35R. Adach136340M. Tkocz331111113
LJul 5 · 12:50R. Adach28811541M. Tkocz4211911113
LJul 5 · 10:58R. Adach28811541M. Tkocz4211911113
LJul 5 · 04:55R. Adach26611721M. Tkocz4011711113
R. Adach10
LSep 15 · 19:10R. Adach2.856860P. Kaczynski1.341111113LSep 15 · 16:25R. Adach2.5047100J. Orszulik1.501111123LSep 15 · 15:10R. Adach2.7561251162K. Juszczyk1.351110118113LSep 14 · 02:20R. Ogon2.2011716113R. Adach1.605111481LSep 14 · 01:35P. Polok1.271211113R. Adach3.3010940LSep 13 · 23:35S. Krupa1.52116711113R. Adach2.3771111832LSep 13 · 22:50G. Sawicki1.88891111113R. Adach1.7611114982WSep 13 · 21:10I. Szymanski2.107680R. Adach1.651111113LSep 13 · 20:20S. Krupa1.451111113R. Adach2.432250LSep 13 · 19:35P. Polok1.241311143R. Adach3.40115120
M. Tkocz10
WSep 15 · 18:45J. Orszulik2.42116361M. Tkocz1.4641111113LSep 15 · 17:10M. Tkocz1.858131171P. Polok1.8511159113WSep 15 · 16:00M. Tkocz1.63811911113P. Kaczynski2.0511911492LSep 11 · 02:00M. Tkocz1.7167140P. Brozek2.001111163LSep 11 · 24:45M. Tkocz1.80491115112K. Durak1.901111813133WSep 10 · 23:35M. Tkocz1.2011911113R. Komandzik3.90711311WSep 10 · 22:25M. Lebek1.9013101131M. Tkocz1.76111213113WSep 10 · 21:35M. Tkocz1.341112113J. Nowak2.8581090LSep 10 · 20:20K. Durak1.8011116123M. Tkocz1.907611101LSep 10 · 19:35P. Zemla1.831211113M. Tkocz1.8310830
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