TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13133620
Played Sep 15Finished
Marek Tkocz
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111315119711––
Pawel Polok
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:37 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timePawel Polok to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
8111315119711––
H2H Marek Tkocz 3–0 Pawel Polok Pawel Polok has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:37What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Polok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Tkocz
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkocz 1384 vs Polok 1492
Polok
Correct
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkocz 60% vs Polok 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkocz 40% vs Polok 80%
Polok
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkocz +1 · Polok -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Polok) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkocz 1.85 / Polok 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Polok)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13133620
Tkocz1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Polok1.85
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeTkocz3wins
AwayPolok0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderTkocz leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkocz2Polok1n = 3Tkocz took 2 of 3
S2Tkocz2Polok1n = 3Tkocz took 2 of 3
S3Tkocz1Polok2n = 3Polok took 2 of 3
S4Tkocz3Polok0n = 3Tkocz took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricTkoczPolokT − PBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match41.735.0+6.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkoczPolokBasisWin rate · lifetime767 / 1154 vs 114 / 17666.5%64.8%767 / 1154 vs 114 / 176Avg sets wonper match2.42.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolokTkocz 1.85/Polok 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Polok · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Polok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 20 · 22:25M. Tkocz3851111113P. Polok31116681
WAug 4 · 21:35M. Tkocz45113911113P. Polok3871111542
WAug 4 · 15:35M. Tkocz4211119113P. Polok36881191
M. Tkocz10
WSep 15 · 18:00R. Adach3.3536110M. Tkocz1.251111133WSep 15 · 16:00M. Tkocz1.63811911113P. Kaczynski2.0511911492LSep 11 · 02:00M. Tkocz1.7167140P. Brozek2.001111163LSep 11 · 24:45M. Tkocz1.80491115112K. Durak1.901111813133WSep 10 · 23:35M. Tkocz1.2011911113R. Komandzik3.90711311WSep 10 · 22:25M. Lebek1.9013101131M. Tkocz1.76111213113WSep 10 · 21:35M. Tkocz1.341112113J. Nowak2.8581090LSep 10 · 20:20K. Durak1.8011116123M. Tkocz1.907611101LSep 10 · 19:35P. Zemla1.831211113M. Tkocz1.8310830LSep 10 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.8811811113M. Tkocz1.82911661
P. Polok10
LSep 15 · 15:35J. Orszulik2.601211113P. Polok1.4110980WSep 14 · 02:45I. Szymanski4.708460P. Polok1.131111113WSep 14 · 01:35P. Polok1.271211113R. Adach3.3010940LSep 14 · 24:25G. Sawicki3.65616115113P. Polok1.21111451172WSep 13 · 23:10R. Ogon5.00113118102P. Polok1.12811911123WSep 13 · 21:35S. Krupa2.50419211162P. Polok1.471117119183WSep 13 · 20:45G. Sawicki3.658111151P. Polok1.2111913113WSep 13 · 19:35P. Polok1.241311143R. Adach3.40115120WSep 13 · 18:25K. Juszczyk1.9511870P. Polok1.751311113WSep 13 · 17:10S. Krupa2.505580P. Polok1.441111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Tkocz
P. Polok
Sep 15 · 18:25P. Polok1.54P. Kaczynski2.25—Sep 15 · 19:35P. Polok1.53K. Juszczyk2.23—Sep 15 · 20:45P. Polok1.21R. Adach3.65—Sep 15 · 22:00P. Polok1.76M. Tkocz1.90—Sep 15 · 23:10P. Polok1.07K. Kowalski6.20—Sep 16 · 24:00P. Polok1.69S. Szostok1.96—Sep 16 · 24:45P. Polok—J. Orszulik——Sep 16 · 02:20P. Polok—M. Lebek——
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