TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13134330
Played Sep 15Finished
Rafal Adach
Home
2.85
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611811611––––
Piotr Kaczynski
Away
1.34
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:30 and never touched — 70.8% is still 70.8%
Graded at full timePiotr Kaczynski to win
70.8%
70.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
611811611––––
H2H Rafal Adach 0–2 Piotr Kaczynski Rafal Adach has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:30What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.34 (68%)
Kaczynski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Adach 1198 vs Kaczynski 1413
Kaczynski
Correct
both rated, 215 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adach 0% vs Kaczynski 20%
Kaczynski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adach 10% vs Kaczynski 40%
Kaczynski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adach -5 · Kaczynski -1
Adach
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Kaczynski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaczynski form (20%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdach 2.85 / Kaczynski 1.34
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Kaczynski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13134330
Adach2.85
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog33% won 82 of 248
Down 0–1, comes back15% 22 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 90
Kaczynski1.34
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 53 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it88% 37 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeAdach0wins
AwayKaczynski2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderKaczynski leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricAdachKaczynskiA − KBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match31.045.5−14.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdachKaczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 579 vs 207 / 38640.9%53.6%237 / 579 vs 207 / 386Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaczynskiAdach 2.85/Kaczynski 1.34
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.8%
Kaczynski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kaczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 1 · 20:45R. Adach3851111742P. Kaczynski49118811113
LMar 17 · 16:35R. Adach24611341P. Kaczynski4211911113
R. Adach10
LSep 15 · 18:00R. Adach3.3536110M. Tkocz1.251111133LSep 15 · 16:25R. Adach2.5047100J. Orszulik1.501111123LSep 15 · 15:10R. Adach2.7561251162K. Juszczyk1.351110118113LSep 14 · 02:20R. Ogon2.2011716113R. Adach1.605111481LSep 14 · 01:35P. Polok1.271211113R. Adach3.3010940LSep 13 · 23:35S. Krupa1.52116711113R. Adach2.3771111832LSep 13 · 22:50G. Sawicki1.88891111113R. Adach1.7611114982WSep 13 · 21:10I. Szymanski2.107680R. Adach1.651111113LSep 13 · 20:20S. Krupa1.451111113R. Adach2.432250LSep 13 · 19:35P. Polok1.241311143R. Adach3.40115120
P. Kaczynski10
LSep 15 · 18:25P. Kaczynski2.255127111P. Polok1.54111011133WSep 15 · 16:50P. Kaczynski1.851111106113K. Juszczyk1.8584121162LSep 15 · 16:00M. Tkocz1.63811911113P. Kaczynski2.0511911492LSep 8 · 20:45W. Pytlas1.83151311113P. Kaczynski1.831711531LSep 8 · 19:35P. Kaczynski1.8651211982K. Juszczyk1.801110911113WSep 8 · 18:25S. Juzek2.341112851P. Kaczynski1.4981411113LSep 8 · 17:10R. Gajda2.008111111123P. Kaczynski1.70113139102WSep 8 · 15:35M. Tkocz1.6091141142P. Kaczynski2.20118118113WSep 1 · 20:45P. Kaczynski1.36118811113R. Adach2.8051111742LSep 1 · 19:10P. Kaczynski3.3061040P. Gasiorski1.271112113
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