Marek Tkocz vs Kamil Kowalski 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13135081

Played Sep 16Finished

Marek Tkocz

Home

1.10

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

7111141151210––

Kamil Kowalski

Away

5.40

At publish

Lost last 10

Form at publish

0–10Last 10Lost last 10

The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:37 and never touched — 75.2% is still 75.2%

Graded at full time

Marek Tkocz to win

75.2%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

71 points played in total.

Set by set

7111141151210––

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 12:37

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.10 (83%)

Tkocz

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Tkocz 1409 vs Kowalski 991

Tkocz

Correct

both rated, 418 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Tkocz 80% vs Kowalski 0%

Tkocz

Correct

80pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Tkocz 60% vs Kowalski 0%

Tkocz

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Tkocz -1 · Kowalski -5

Kowalski

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Tkocz) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kowalski form (0%) is below what odds imply (19%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsTkocz 1.10 / Kowalski 5.40

Signal prob.83% / 17%

Edge (Tkocz)+0.0pp

TT Elite Series · #13135081

Tkocz1.10

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite67% won 300 of 447

Up 2–0, closes it95% 171 of 181

Up 1–0, closes it84% 247 of 295

Kowalski5.40

0%won 0 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 10

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As underdog15% won 17 of 112

Down 0–1, comes back4% 3 of 74

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 49

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricTkoczKowalskiBasisWin rate · lifetime771 / 1160 vs 17 / 12166.5%14.1%771 / 1160 vs 17 / 121Avg sets wonper match2.41.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.032.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

Forecastthe model predicts this market

Match Winner

Tkocz

Tkocz 1.10/Kowalski 5.40

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

83.1%

Tkocz · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Tkocz won

Handicap · Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Tkocz10