TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13134888
Played Sep 15Finished
Pawel Polok
Home
1.07
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141210117––––
Kamil Kowalski
Away
6.20
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:47 and never touched — 81.2% is still 81.2%
Graded at full timePawel Polok to win
81.2%
81.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
1141210117––––
H2H Pawel Polok 2–0 Kamil Kowalski Kamil Kowalski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:47What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.07 (85%)
Polok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Polok 1510 vs Kowalski 991
Polok
Correct
both rated, 519 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polok 80% vs Kowalski 0%
Polok
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polok 70% vs Kowalski 0%
Polok
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Polok -1 · Kowalski -5
Kowalski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Polok) · live re-read · sealed at 81% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowalski form (0%) is below what odds imply (16%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolok 1.07 / Kowalski 6.20
Signal prob.85% / 15%
Edge (Polok)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13134888
Polok1.07
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 76 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it84% 62 of 74
Kowalski6.20
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog15% won 17 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back4% 3 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePolok2wins
AwayKowalski0wins
Polok leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPolokKowalskiP − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match33.018.5+14.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolokKowalskiBasisWin rate · lifetime118 / 181 vs 17 / 12165.2%14.1%118 / 181 vs 17 / 121Avg sets wonper match2.31.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.932.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolokPolok 1.07/Kowalski 6.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.3%
Polok · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Polok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 12 · 04:30P. Polok331111113K. Kowalski218580
WAug 11 · 08:10P. Polok331111113K. Kowalski164750
P. Polok10
WSep 16 · 24:45J. Orszulik2.458770P. Polok1.491111113LSep 16 · 24:00S. Szostok1.881012117113P. Polok1.82121091162LSep 15 · 22:00P. Polok1.806111071M. Tkocz1.9111712113WSep 15 · 20:45R. Adach3.655150P. Polok1.221111113WSep 15 · 19:35P. Polok1.751115113K. Juszczyk1.9861370WSep 15 · 18:25P. Kaczynski2.255127111P. Polok1.54111011133WSep 15 · 17:10M. Tkocz1.858131171P. Polok1.8511159113LSep 15 · 15:35J. Orszulik2.601211113P. Polok1.4110980WSep 14 · 02:45I. Szymanski4.708460P. Polok1.131111113WSep 14 · 01:35P. Polok1.271211113R. Adach3.3010940
K. Kowalski10
LSep 16 · 01:35K. Kowalski5.459111151M. Lebek1.0911138113LSep 16 · 24:25M. Tkocz1.1071111123K. Kowalski5.401145101LSep 15 · 21:35J. Orszulik1.161111113K. Kowalski4.208870LSep 3 · 14:20O. Vincenec1.28711119113K. Kowalski3.5011841172LSep 3 · 13:30M. Sikon1.3011811113K. Kowalski3.40811891LSep 3 · 11:25I. Szymanski1.441114113K. Kowalski2.6331280LSep 3 · 10:35R. Gajda1.53111149113K. Kowalski2.3847111192LSep 3 · 09:00P. Kurek1.101111911113K. Kowalski6.5091311762LSep 3 · 07:45K. Kowalski6.50116761P. Kurek1.1081111113LSep 3 · 06:30K. Kowalski3.50107100O. Vincenec1.281211123
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