TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13129003
Played Sep 14Finished
Oskar Jadach
Home
1.81
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191214116511611
Sebastian Szostok
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
1191214116511611
H2H Oskar Jadach 27–37 Sebastian Szostok Oskar Jadach has won 27 of their 64 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:22What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.81 (50%)
Jadach
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-37 in 64
Szostok
Correct
gap of 10 in 64, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1509 vs Szostok 1542
Szostok
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 60% vs Szostok 80%
Szostok
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 80% vs Szostok 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach -1 · Szostok +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Szostok) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szostok form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 1.81 / Szostok 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Szostok)+4.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13129003
Jadach1.81
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 320 of 472
Up 2–0, closes it94% 149 of 158
Up 1–0, closes it86% 223 of 260
Szostok1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 68 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back29% 26 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadach5wins
AwaySzostok5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadachn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySzostok50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadach2Szostok8n = 10Szostok took 8 of 10
S2Jadach6Szostok4n = 10Jadach took 6 of 10
S3Jadach6Szostok4n = 10Jadach took 6 of 10
S4Jadach3Szostok5n = 8Szostok took 5 of 8
S5Jadach3Szostok1n = 4Jadach took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadachSzostokJ − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match40.740.1+0.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachSzostokBasisWin rate · lifetime801 / 1318 vs 922 / 157260.8%58.7%801 / 1318 vs 922 / 1572Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.840.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokJadach 1.81/Szostok 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Szostok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 13:10O. Jadach36881191S. Szostok3811115113
LSep 4 · 05:30O. Jadach351312551S. Szostok47151011113
WSep 2 · 02:10O. Jadach521091111113S. Szostok4412115882
WSep 1 · 20:05O. Jadach49511911133S. Szostok45115117112
WAug 28 · 13:05O. Jadach351112123S. Szostok26610100
LAug 28 · 06:55O. Jadach2879120S. Szostok361111143
LAug 20 · 12:20O. Jadach32571191S. Szostok4211119113
WAug 20 · 08:20O. Jadach3961111113S. Szostok31115781
LJul 26 · 15:55O. Jadach45111167102S. Szostok49691111123
WJul 26 · 09:55O. Jadach561411119113S. Szostok4316941132
O. Jadach10
LSep 14 · 21:30O. Jadach1.85791111142K. Adamus1.85111197163WSep 14 · 20:20O. Jadach1.151111113I. Szymanski4.407620WSep 14 · 18:45O. Jadach1.501111133K. Schaniel2.3095110LSep 14 · 17:30O. Jadach1.5721190G. Marud2.151113113WSep 14 · 04:20M. Adamus2.30711771O. Jadach1.5511711113WSep 14 · 03:30A. Ruszkiewicz1.6811971222O. Jadach2.078111110113WSep 14 · 02:45O. Jadach1.331111113J. Nowak2.857940WSep 14 · 01:10O. Jadach1.481314113O. Vincenec2.49111260WSep 14 · 24:20G. Marud2.179137111O. Jadach1.56111111133WSep 13 · 23:05O. Jadach1.33115911113J. Nowak2.8581111852
S. Szostok10
WSep 14 · 21:55S. Szostok1.58511811113G. Marud2.1411811642WSep 14 · 20:45K. Adamus2.0011581182S. Szostok1.71911118113LSep 14 · 19:30I. Szymanski4.551111710113S. Szostok1.1469111282WSep 14 · 17:55K. Schaniel2.35118101172S. Szostok1.48411125113WSep 13 · 14:40S. Szostok2.001111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.736860LSep 13 · 13:05S. Szostok1.44117118192Z. Sobkow2.63611311213WSep 13 · 11:50S. Szostok1.80816117113M. Lach1.91111471182WSep 13 · 10:10S. Szostok2.50111111113A. Cichocki1.50136941WSep 13 · 09:00S. Szostok1.831161011113J. Wieczerzak1.8381112772LSep 13 · 07:45A. Cichocki1.501111113S. Szostok2.507880
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