TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13135938
Played Sep 15Finished
Tomas Stejskal
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611911––––
Petr Abraham
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingTomas Stejskal above · Petr Abraham below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11
55 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Stejskal 8–3 Petr Abraham Petr Abraham has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Abraham beat Stejskal 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Abraham)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Abraham form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStejskal 1.80 / Abraham 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Abraham)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13135938
Stejskal1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 18 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it59% 16 of 27
Abraham1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 21 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back16% 8 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStejskal7wins
AwayAbraham3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStejskal leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStejskal66.7%6 of 9
AwayAbrahamn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stejskal9Abraham1n = 10Stejskal took 9 of 10
S2Stejskal4Abraham6n = 10Abraham took 6 of 10
S3Stejskal8Abraham2n = 10Stejskal took 8 of 10
S4Stejskal2Abraham4n = 6Abraham took 4 of 6
S5Stejskal2Abraham1n = 3Stejskal took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStejskalAbrahamS − ABasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match39.635.4+4.2per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStejskalAbrahamBasisWin rate · lifetime99 / 218 vs 208 / 40845.4%51%99 / 218 vs 208 / 408Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AbrahamStejskal 1.80/Abraham 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Abraham · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Abraham won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 13:30T. Stejskal4211119111P. Abraham4471311133
WJun 9 · 16:28T. Stejskal3911411133P. Abraham349113111
WJun 9 · 15:00T. Stejskal391113153P. Abraham32811130
LJun 5 · 16:00T. Stejskal31118391P. Abraham4181111113
WFeb 18 · 16:30T. Stejskal331111113P. Abraham218490
LAug 11 · 16:50T. Stejskal50119111092P. Abraham44311712113
WAug 11 · 16:00T. Stejskal351311113P. Abraham2811890
WApr 11 · 17:00T. Stejskal52781511113P. Abraham50111113962
WApr 11 · 16:00T. Stejskal331111113P. Abraham178540
WMar 24 · 18:10T. Stejskal42114115113P. Abraham4391171152
T. Stejskal10
LSep 15 · 16:00M. Soukup1.67111011113T. Stejskal2.10712791LSep 15 · 15:00L. Tuma1.531111113T. Stejskal2.388960LSep 15 · 13:30P. Abraham2.0071311133T. Stejskal1.7311119111LSep 10 · 20:58J. Pina1.61511117113T. Stejskal2.2011751162LSep 10 · 20:00T. Stejskal1.57561141J. Pina2.2511118113LSep 10 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer1.67101111113T. Stejskal2.10129581LSep 10 · 18:00M. Drabek3.0021311113T. Stejskal1.361111941WAug 31 · 20:38M. Vana1.531181061T. Stejskal2.3871112113LAug 31 · 19:30T. Stejskal2.2031181162M. Vana1.61116119113WAug 31 · 18:30T. Stejskal2.631111113O. Karpisek1.449460
P. Abraham10
LSep 15 · 15:30P. Abraham2.101154111L. Tuma1.6791111133LSep 15 · 14:30P. Abraham2.2012460M. Soukup1.611411113WSep 15 · 13:30P. Abraham2.0071311133T. Stejskal1.7311119111LSep 10 · 16:59P. Abraham2.109480T. Hanke1.671111113LSep 10 · 16:00T. Hanke1.731111113P. Abraham2.008570WSep 10 · 15:00M. Soukup1.73111121162P. Abraham2.00137113113WSep 10 · 13:30T. Bertho1.5311410101P. Abraham2.3871112123WAug 30 · 17:05A. Dvoracek3.007960P. Abraham1.361111103LAug 30 · 15:30M. Melisek2.75611126143P. Abraham1.401181011122WAug 30 · 15:00P. Abraham2.631112113J. Hanacek1.4451030
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