TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131341
Played Sep 15Finished
Milos Soukup
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171012117119––
Tomas Stejskal
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMilos Soukup to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilos Soukup above · Tomas Stejskal below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Milos Soukup at 55.8%
78 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:46What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Soukup
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Soukup 1467 vs Stejskal 1416
Soukup
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Soukup 40% vs Stejskal 0%
Soukup
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Soukup 50% vs Stejskal 30%
Soukup
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Soukup +2 · Stejskal -5
Stejskal
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Soukup)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stejskal form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSoukup 1.67 / Stejskal 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Soukup)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13131341
Soukup1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 14 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it71% 10 of 14
Stejskal2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 14 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back21% 4 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSoukupStejskalBasisWin rate · lifetime32 / 73 vs 100 / 21843.8%45.9%32 / 73 vs 100 / 218Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SoukupSoukup 1.67/Stejskal 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Soukup · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Soukup won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Soukup10
WSep 15 · 14:30P. Abraham2.2012460M. Soukup1.611411113WSep 15 · 14:00L. Tuma1.9141141122M. Soukup1.80115119113LSep 10 · 16:29M. Soukup2.10111211462T. Bertho1.67614611113LSep 10 · 15:30T. Bertho2.3811911143M. Soukup1.537115121LSep 10 · 15:00M. Soukup1.73111121162P. Abraham2.00137113113WSep 10 · 14:00M. Soukup1.61116113113T. Hanke2.2081141192WAug 27 · 16:23M. Soukup1.571013711113T. Hanke2.25121111552LAug 27 · 15:45M. Soukup2.101011111182Z. Kuksa1.67121388113WAug 27 · 14:15T. Hanke1.913550M. Soukup1.801111113LAug 27 · 13:45O. Horak1.91111197113M. Soukup1.8079111172
T. Stejskal10
LSep 15 · 16:33T. Stejskal1.807690P. Abraham1.911111113LSep 15 · 15:00L. Tuma1.531111113T. Stejskal2.388960LSep 15 · 13:30P. Abraham2.0071311133T. Stejskal1.7311119111LSep 10 · 20:58J. Pina1.61511117113T. Stejskal2.2011751162LSep 10 · 20:00T. Stejskal1.57561141J. Pina2.2511118113LSep 10 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer1.67101111113T. Stejskal2.10129581LSep 10 · 18:00M. Drabek3.0021311113T. Stejskal1.361111941WAug 31 · 20:38M. Vana1.531181061T. Stejskal2.3871112113LAug 31 · 19:30T. Stejskal2.2031181162M. Vana1.61116119113WAug 31 · 18:30T. Stejskal2.631111113O. Karpisek1.449460
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