TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134184
Played Sep 15Finished
Jiri Matus
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119611118112––
Lukas Krupnik Snr
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJiri Matus above · Lukas Krupnik Snr below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 69 set 4, 11-2
69 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Matus 3–0 Lukas Krupnik Snr Lukas Krupnik Snr has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Matus beat Snr 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Matus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snr form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMatus 1.33 / Snr 3.25
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Matus)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #13134184
Matus1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 89 of 152
Up 2–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it75% 61 of 81
Snr3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 19 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMatus3wins
AwaySnr0wins
Matus leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMatus100%3 of 3
AwaySnrn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Matus3Snr0n = 3Matus took 3 of 3
S2Matus2Snr1n = 3Matus took 2 of 3
S3Matus3Snr0n = 3Matus took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMatusSnrM − SBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match36.023.0+13.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMatusSnrBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 425 vs 58 / 12751.5%45.7%219 / 425 vs 58 / 127Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MatusMatus 1.33/Snr 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.9%
Matus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Matus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 15 · 08:10J. Matus4211911113L. Snr33611971
WApr 27 · 06:45J. Matus331111113L. Snr174580
WMar 31 · 05:40J. Matus331111113L. Snr197390
J. Matus10
WSep 15 · 08:10L. Snr2.25611971J. Matus1.5711911113LSep 15 · 07:10J. Matus1.833411101A. Strelec1.8311119123LSep 15 · 05:40I. Jemelka1.531181413113J. Matus2.38811121592LSep 14 · 09:33J. Matus1.91111071172A. Strelec1.80212115113WSep 14 · 08:10J. Matus1.838201111113P. Sturma1.83111871392LSep 14 · 06:40J. Sindler1.731011711123J. Matus2.00123117102WSep 14 · 06:10A. Strelec1.80118125112J. Matus1.915111011133WSep 13 · 20:55J. Matus1.731112113M. Dolezal2.0081030LSep 13 · 20:15J. Oleksik2.10851211113J. Matus1.67111110762WSep 13 · 19:15J. Matus1.73116115113L. Jr2.0081151192
L. Snr10
LSep 15 · 08:10L. Snr2.25611971J. Matus1.5711911113LSep 15 · 06:40I. Jemelka1.611111113L. Snr2.208680LSep 15 · 06:10A. Strelec2.001111123L. Snr1.7354100WSep 8 · 12:43P. Sturma1.83811991L. Snr1.8311411113LSep 8 · 11:45L. Snr1.73118761P. Sturma2.0031111113LSep 8 · 10:45L. Snr1.91651171R. Jancak1.8011119113LSep 8 · 09:45L. Snr1.6751191172R. Sedivy2.10119118113WSep 7 · 09:13L. Snr1.73911611113A. Strelec2.0011911872WSep 7 · 07:45A. Strelec1.83711861L. Snr1.8311511113WSep 7 · 07:15F. Mandrysz2.10128911112L. Snr1.671011117133
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