Ivan Jemelka vs Lukas Krupnik Snr 3-0

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13131836

Played Sep 15Finished

Ivan Jemelka

Home

1.62

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

118116118––––

Lukas Krupnik Snr

Away

2.20

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:35 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%

Graded at full time

Ivan Jemelka to win

56.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingIvan Jemelka above · Lukas Krupnik Snr below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 11-8

Point 55 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Ivan Jemelka at 56.5%

55 points played in total.

The pickConfirm

Sealed 22:35

What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Jemelka

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Jemelka 1415 vs Snr 1343

Jemelka

Correct

both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Jemelka 60% vs Snr 20%

Jemelka

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Jemelka 60% vs Snr 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Jemelka +2 · Snr -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.

Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Jemelka) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Snr form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsJemelka 1.61 / Snr 2.20

Signal prob.61% / 40%

Edge (Jemelka)+2.8pp

TT Cup · #13131836

Jemelka1.61

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite48% won 15 of 31

Up 2–0, closes it75% 6 of 8

Up 1–0, closes it67% 10 of 15

Snr2.20

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog43% won 19 of 44

Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 27

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricJemelkaSnrBasisWin rate · lifetime57 / 117 vs 58 / 12548.7%46.4%57 / 117 vs 58 / 125Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Jemelka

Jemelka 1.61/Snr 2.20

Hit

What we said

60.5%

Jemelka · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Jemelka won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

I. Jemelka10