TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13131780
Played Sep 15Finished
Petr Moravec
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1176111210411113
Petr Chlumsky
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:23 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timePetr Moravec to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Moravec above · Petr Chlumsky below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 86 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Petr Moravec at 60.8%
86 points played in total.
H2H Petr Moravec 1–0 Petr Chlumsky Petr Chlumsky has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:23What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Moravec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1538 vs Chlumsky 1510
Moravec
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 60% vs Chlumsky 40%
Moravec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 70% vs Chlumsky 40%
Moravec
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec -1 · Chlumsky +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Moravec) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.57 / Chlumsky 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Moravec)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13131780
Moravec1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 42 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it78% 29 of 37
Chlumsky2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 12 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back24% 4 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMoravec1wins
AwayChlumsky0wins
Moravec leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMoravecChlumskyM − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.018.0+15.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecChlumskyBasisWin rate · lifetime107 / 207 vs 133 / 29551.7%45.1%107 / 207 vs 133 / 295Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.57/Chlumsky 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 30 · 09:25P. Moravec331111113P. Chlumsky185940
P. Moravec10
LSep 15 · 13:55P. Moravec1.5011871192A. Kral2.50811117113WSep 15 · 13:25A. Kral2.10611881P. Moravec1.6711511113LSep 15 · 10:55D. Sochor3.001111113P. Moravec1.367690WSep 8 · 17:55J. Hendrych1.95811981P. Moravec1.7511911113LSep 8 · 16:50P. Moravec1.83871131J. Hendrych1.8311117113WSep 8 · 15:20Z. Zahradka2.7510580P. Moravec1.401211113WSep 8 · 14:50J. Dvorak3.001211941P. Moravec1.3614411113WSep 3 · 18:23J. Hrncir1.9011691372P. Moravec1.806111111113WSep 3 · 16:55M. Beran1.73811931P. Moravec2.0011611113LSep 3 · 16:25J. Hrncir1.911011118163P. Moravec1.80126511142
P. Chlumsky10
WSep 15 · 14:24D. Sochor2.10117116102P. Chlumsky1.67611811123WSep 15 · 12:55D. Sochor1.83781181P. Chlumsky1.8311119113WSep 15 · 11:25P. Chlumsky1.83121212113A. Kral1.8310101471LSep 9 · 13:58P. Chlumsky1.83121191182L. Moravec1.83148115113WSep 9 · 12:55P. Chlumsky2.0012713113L. Moravec1.7310111171LSep 9 · 11:55P. Chlumsky1.73119911102A. Kral2.00911116123LSep 9 · 10:55P. Chlumsky2.2551111132D. Sykora1.57117711113LSep 8 · 09:53J. Srnka1.804111011133P. Chlumsky1.91119127112WSep 8 · 08:55J. Srnka2.2551161192P. Chlumsky1.57117116113LSep 8 · 08:25R. Muller1.611111113P. Chlumsky2.208530
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