TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13131846
Played Sep 15Finished
David Sochor
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711811119811––
Petr Chlumsky
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Chlumsky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Sochor above · Petr Chlumsky below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Petr Chlumsky at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H David Sochor 0–1 Petr Chlumsky David Sochor has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:35What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Chlumsky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sochor 1404 vs Chlumsky 1509
Chlumsky
Correct
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sochor 60% vs Chlumsky 40%
Sochor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sochor 40% vs Chlumsky 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sochor +3 · Chlumsky -1
Sochor
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chlumsky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chlumsky form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSochor 1.83 / Chlumsky 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chlumsky)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13131846
Sochor1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Chlumsky1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSochor0wins
AwayChlumsky1wins
Chlumsky leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSochorChlumskyS − CBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match34.042.0−8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSochorChlumskyBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 254 vs 134 / 29740.6%45.1%103 / 254 vs 134 / 297Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChlumskySochor 1.83/Chlumsky 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Chlumsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chlumsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 15 · 12:55D. Sochor34781181P. Chlumsky4211119113
D. Sochor10
LSep 15 · 14:24D. Sochor2.10117116102P. Chlumsky1.67611811123WSep 15 · 11:55D. Sochor2.50115711113A. Kral1.5091111892WSep 15 · 10:55D. Sochor3.001111113P. Moravec1.367690WSep 14 · 17:20J. Hendrych1.60118891D. Sochor2.2071111113LSep 14 · 16:50Z. Zahradka1.5011811113D. Sochor2.50811791LSep 14 · 15:50D. Sochor2.1011581182J. Hendrych1.67811118113LSep 14 · 14:20D. Sykora1.4411136153D. Sochor2.6361111131WSep 13 · 17:28M. Beran1.365890D. Sochor3.001111113LSep 13 · 16:20D. Sochor2.2591080V. Jr1.571112113LSep 13 · 15:20D. Sochor2.759101261M. Beran1.40111210113
P. Chlumsky10
WSep 15 · 14:24D. Sochor2.10117116102P. Chlumsky1.67611811123LSep 15 · 12:25P. Moravec1.57116124113P. Chlumsky2.25711101132WSep 15 · 11:25P. Chlumsky1.83121212113A. Kral1.8310101471LSep 9 · 13:58P. Chlumsky1.83121191182L. Moravec1.83148115113WSep 9 · 12:55P. Chlumsky2.0012713113L. Moravec1.7310111171LSep 9 · 11:55P. Chlumsky1.73119911102A. Kral2.00911116123LSep 9 · 10:55P. Chlumsky2.2551111132D. Sykora1.57117711113LSep 8 · 09:53J. Srnka1.804111011133P. Chlumsky1.91119127112WSep 8 · 08:55J. Srnka2.2551161192P. Chlumsky1.57117116113LSep 8 · 08:25R. Muller1.611111113P. Chlumsky2.208530
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