TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13131725
Played Sep 15Finished
David Sochor
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117116119––––
Petr Moravec
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:24 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timePetr Moravec to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Sochor above · Petr Moravec below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 55 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Petr Moravec at 71.6%
55 points played in total.
H2H David Sochor 0–2 Petr Moravec David Sochor has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:24What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Moravec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sochor 1376 vs Moravec 1558
Moravec
Wrong
both rated, 183 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sochor 40% vs Moravec 80%
Moravec
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sochor 30% vs Moravec 70%
Moravec
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sochor +1 · Moravec +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Moravec)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSochor 3.00 / Moravec 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Moravec)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13131725
Sochor3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 11 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back7% 2 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 18
Moravec1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 42 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it78% 29 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSochor0wins
AwayMoravec2wins
Moravec leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricSochorMoravecS − MBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match26.039.0−13.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSochorMoravecBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 255 vs 107 / 20640.4%51.9%103 / 255 vs 107 / 206Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecSochor 3.00/Moravec 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.6%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sochor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LApr 7 · 17:55D. Sochor3510101141P. Moravec4412129113
LApr 7 · 16:25D. Sochor1710430P. Moravec341211113
D. Sochor10
WSep 14 · 17:20J. Hendrych1.60118891D. Sochor2.2071111113LSep 14 · 16:50Z. Zahradka1.5011811113D. Sochor2.50811791LSep 14 · 15:50D. Sochor2.1011581182J. Hendrych1.67811118113LSep 14 · 14:20D. Sykora1.4411136153D. Sochor2.6361111131WSep 13 · 17:28M. Beran1.365890D. Sochor3.001111113LSep 13 · 16:20D. Sochor2.2591080V. Jr1.571112113LSep 13 · 15:20D. Sochor2.759101261M. Beran1.40111210113LSep 13 · 14:20D. Sochor2.50611961A. Langer1.5011711113WSep 11 · 17:55L. Moravec1.3097130D. Sochor3.401111153LSep 11 · 17:25A. Kral1.801111133D. Sochor1.9178110
P. Moravec10
WSep 8 · 17:55J. Hendrych1.95811981P. Moravec1.7511911113LSep 8 · 16:50P. Moravec1.83871131J. Hendrych1.8311117113WSep 8 · 15:20Z. Zahradka2.7510580P. Moravec1.401211113WSep 8 · 14:50J. Dvorak3.001211941P. Moravec1.3614411113WSep 3 · 18:23J. Hrncir1.9011691372P. Moravec1.806111111113WSep 3 · 16:55M. Beran1.73811931P. Moravec2.0011611113LSep 3 · 16:25J. Hrncir1.911011118163P. Moravec1.80126511142WSep 3 · 15:25P. Moravec1.50111187113M. Sochor2.5065111192WSep 1 · 01:50P. Moravec2.501112113M. Beran1.5061080LSep 1 · 24:20J. Cerny2.0014119113P. Moravec1.731251151
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