TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131033
Played Sep 15Finished
Orest Melnik
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
12146111012––––
Danylo Kasian
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOrest Melnik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOrest Melnik above · Danylo Kasian below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 65 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Orest Melnik at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Orest Melnik 1–0 Danylo Kasian Danylo Kasian has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:39What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Melnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Melnik 1225 vs Kasian 1311
Kasian
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnik 20% vs Kasian 80%
Kasian
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnik 30% vs Kasian 60%
Kasian
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnik -3 · Kasian +1
Melnik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Melnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasian form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnik 1.73 / Kasian 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Melnik)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13131033
Melnik1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite77% won 49 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Kasian2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog57% won 13 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back39% 5 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMelnik1wins
AwayKasian0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderMelnik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMelnikKasianM − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match48.037.0+11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnikKasianBasisWin rate · lifetime169 / 361 vs 34 / 6146.8%55.7%169 / 361 vs 34 / 61Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelnikMelnik 1.73/Kasian 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Melnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kasian won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 13 · 15:25O. Melnik48611911113D. Kasian3711511732
O. Melnik10
LSep 15 · 15:55O. Melnik2.385116101V. Hel1.5311411123LSep 15 · 14:25O. Melnik4.509490K. Tkachenko1.171111113LSep 15 · 12:25O. Melnik3.25117641S. Kryvoshyi1.3381111113WSep 2 · 11:25O. Melnik1.73118117113V. Kheresko2.0081181192LSep 2 · 09:25A. Didyk1.57127129113O. Melnik2.251011101162WSep 2 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.2278110O. Melnik4.001111133LSep 2 · 06:25O. Melnik1.8011113792D. Kozoriz1.91001111113WSep 2 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv3.006540O. Melnik1.361111113LSep 1 · 18:55O. Melnik3.754590S. Kryvoshyi1.251111113LSep 1 · 16:55A. Didyk1.611161110113O. Melnik2.2081171262
D. Kasian10
WSep 15 · 14:55O. Maksymkiv2.205650D. Kasian1.611111113LSep 15 · 13:55D. Kasian2.1051180V. Hel1.671113113WSep 15 · 12:55K. Tkachenko1.61971191D. Kasian2.2011117113WAug 25 · 18:25D. Kasian3.001011116123V. Kheresko1.36128811102WAug 25 · 16:25S. Kryvoshyi1.83115116112D. Kasian1.83911811133LAug 25 · 15:25D. Kasian2.10813421D. Kozoriz1.67111111113WAug 25 · 14:25A. Didyk1.7310890D. Kasian2.001211113LAug 25 · 12:55D. Kasian2.0011811562D. Ponomarenko1.73611811113WAug 24 · 10:55M. Vivatenko2.251110361D. Kasian1.5791211113LAug 24 · 09:55V. Salivonchyk2.10101111123D. Kasian1.671285101
Upcoming Matches
O. Melnik
Nothing scheduled
D. Kasian
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