Danylo Kasian vs Valerii Hel 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13131402

Played Sep 15Finished

Danylo Kasian

Home

2.10

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 3

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

5111113811––––

Valerii Hel

Away

1.67

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:51 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%

Graded at full time

Valerii Hel to win

54.3%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingDanylo Kasian above · Valerii Hel below

Set 1 · 5-11

Set 2 · 11-13

Set 3 · 8-11

Point 59 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Valerii Hel at 54.3%

59 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 20:51

What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Hel

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Kasian 1314 vs Hel 1284

Kasian

Wrong

both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kasian 80% vs Hel 20%

Kasian

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kasian 60% vs Hel 20%

Kasian

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kasian +3 · Hel -3

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hel) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Hel form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKasian 2.10 / Hel 1.67

Signal prob.44% / 56%

Edge (Hel)+0.0pp

Setka Cup · #13131402

Kasian2.10

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog57% won 13 of 23

Down 0–1, comes back39% 5 of 13

Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8

Hel1.67

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite59% won 51 of 86

Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27

Up 1–0, closes it76% 35 of 46

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricKasianHelBasisWin rate · lifetime33 / 59 vs 121 / 21355.9%56.8%33 / 59 vs 121 / 213Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Hel

Kasian 2.10/Hel 1.67

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

55.8%

Hel · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Hel won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

D. Kasian10