TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129724
Played Sep 15Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
114118811711811
Tomas Varnuska
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Prokupek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Tomas Varnuska below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 90 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jaroslav Prokupek at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 6–3 Tomas Varnuska Tomas Varnuska has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:21What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Varnuska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Prokupek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prokupek 1505 vs Varnuska 1518
Varnuska
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokupek 60% vs Varnuska 20%
Prokupek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokupek 50% vs Varnuska 30%
Prokupek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokupek -1 · Varnuska -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Prokupek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Varnuska form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 1.83 / Varnuska 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Prokupek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129724
Prokupek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Varnuska1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeProkupek6wins
AwayVarnuska3wins
5 of 9 to a deciderProkupek leads 6–3, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkupek80%4 of 5
AwayVarnuska50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek5Varnuska4n = 9Prokupek took 5 of 9
S2Prokupek5Varnuska4n = 9Prokupek took 5 of 9
S3Prokupek7Varnuska2n = 9Prokupek took 7 of 9
S4Prokupek2Varnuska5n = 7Varnuska took 5 of 7
S5Prokupek3Varnuska2n = 5Prokupek took 3 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricProkupekVarnuskaP − VBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match40.436.4+4.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekVarnuskaBasisWin rate · lifetime658 / 1385 vs 51 / 11047.5%46.4%658 / 1385 vs 51 / 110Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProkupekProkupek 1.83/Varnuska 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Prokupek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Varnuska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 15 · 07:30J. Prokupek4511118782T. Varnuska45481111113
WJun 5 · 07:00J. Prokupek331111113T. Varnuska179350
WJan 30 · 08:30J. Prokupek3851111113T. Varnuska25117521
WOct 16 · 09:00J. Prokupek42311116113T. Varnuska4711891182
LOct 16 · 07:00J. Prokupek228590T. Varnuska331111113
WAug 26 · 08:30J. Prokupek521111118113T. Varnuska4141361172
WFeb 7 · 10:30J. Prokupek47119115113T. Varnuska3981161132
LFeb 7 · 09:00J. Prokupek4481111952T. Varnuska47115911113
WJan 13 · 07:00J. Prokupek4111711123T. Varnuska345118101
J. Prokupek10
LSep 15 · 06:30M. Vesely1.731111113J. Prokupek2.009580WSep 14 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.611111113L. Krok2.209670LSep 14 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.914114101J. Dedek1.8011811123WSep 14 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.6761111113L. Krok2.10119551WSep 14 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk2.0051290J. Prokupek1.731114113WSep 14 · 02:58J. Dedek1.80711961J. Prokupek1.9111611113LSep 14 · 02:00J. Plachy1.8381111113J. Prokupek1.83114611WSep 14 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.538111110113P. Fojt2.3811541232LSep 13 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911186101V. Postelt1.8051111123LSep 13 · 22:00J. Dedek1.801110911113J. Prokupek1.9161211992
T. Varnuska10
WSep 15 · 08:00T. Varnuska2.10761111163M. Vesely1.67111169142LSep 15 · 06:00T. Varnuska2.3871050P. Zmuda1.531112113LAug 14 · 08:59T. Varnuska1.731110761D. Oborny2.0041211113WAug 14 · 08:30T. Varnuska1.80118614113D. Oborny1.91811111232LAug 14 · 07:00T. Varnuska2.2561540J. Stolfa1.571117113LAug 14 · 06:00T. Janata1.5012811113T. Varnuska2.501011861WAug 7 · 08:58T. Varnuska1.911111113M. Vedmoch1.806230LAug 7 · 08:00T. Varnuska1.73610100J. Plachy2.001112123WAug 7 · 07:30M. Vedmoch1.576310T. Varnuska2.251111113LAug 7 · 06:00T. Varnuska1.80136741R. Pavelka1.91111111113
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