TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12423663
Played Aug 14Finished
Tomas Varnuska
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1188116111412113
Dominik Oborny
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Varnuska to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Varnuska above · Dominik Oborny below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 95 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Tomas Varnuska at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:30What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Varnuska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Varnuska 1510 vs Oborny 1566
Oborny
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Varnuska 40% vs Oborny 60%
Oborny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Varnuska 30% vs Oborny 70%
Oborny
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Varnuska -2 · Oborny -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Varnuska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Varnuska form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarnuska 1.80 / Oborny 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Varnuska)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12423663
Varnuska1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 14 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Oborny1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog40% won 57 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back22% 18 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarnuskaObornyBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 118 vs 293 / 57545.8%51%54 / 118 vs 293 / 575Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VarnuskaVarnuska 1.80/Oborny 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Varnuska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Varnuska won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Varnuska10
LSep 15 · 06:00T. Varnuska2.3871050P. Zmuda1.531112113LAug 14 · 08:59T. Varnuska1.731110761D. Oborny2.0041211113LAug 14 · 07:00T. Varnuska2.2561540J. Stolfa1.571117113LAug 14 · 06:00T. Janata1.5012811113T. Varnuska2.501011861WAug 7 · 08:58T. Varnuska1.911111113M. Vedmoch1.806230LAug 7 · 08:00T. Varnuska1.73610100J. Plachy2.001112123WAug 7 · 07:30M. Vedmoch1.576310T. Varnuska2.251111113LAug 7 · 06:00T. Varnuska1.80136741R. Pavelka1.91111111113LJul 21 · 08:58T. Varnuska2.1011114462D. Tuma1.67681111113LJul 21 · 08:00T. Varnuska2.508111111112D. Tuma1.50119137133
D. Oborny10
WSep 14 · 17:03D. Oborny1.8311611113D. Machander1.83711981LSep 14 · 16:30S. Byrtus2.251215134113D. Oborny1.571017111172WSep 14 · 15:30D. Oborny2.501112113D. Machander1.5091070LSep 14 · 14:30R. Skacelik1.671191211113D. Oborny2.1081114272LSep 8 · 08:58M. Heczko2.001111610113D. Oborny1.7399111272LSep 8 · 08:30D. Oborny1.80971171M. Heczko1.9111118113LSep 8 · 07:00D. Oborny1.91115591J. Levicky1.8061111113WSep 8 · 06:00P. Danko1.831211881D. Oborny1.8314811113WSep 7 · 09:28D. Oborny1.80116911113M. Heczko1.9191111892WAug 14 · 08:59T. Varnuska1.731110761D. Oborny2.0041211113
Upcoming Matches
T. Varnuska
D. Oborny
Nothing scheduled
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