TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12371338
Played Aug 7Finished
Tomas Varnuska
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
61110121012––––
Jiri Plachy
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Varnuska to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Varnuska above · Jiri Plachy below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 61 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Tomas Varnuska at 54.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Varnuska 0–1 Jiri Plachy Tomas Varnuska has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:59What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Varnuska
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Varnuska 1511 vs Plachy 1637
Plachy
Correct
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Varnuska 40% vs Plachy 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Varnuska 50% vs Plachy 70%
Plachy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Varnuska +1 · Plachy -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Varnuska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Varnuska form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarnuska 1.73 / Plachy 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Varnuska)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12371338
Varnuska1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 14 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Plachy2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 182 of 415
Down 0–1, comes back22% 49 of 221
Down 0–2, comes back6% 7 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVarnuska0wins
AwayPlachy1wins
Plachy leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricVarnuskaPlachyV − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match18.033.0−15.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarnuskaPlachyBasisWin rate · lifetime55 / 119 vs 744 / 159546.2%46.7%55 / 119 vs 744 / 1595Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VarnuskaVarnuska 1.73/Plachy 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Varnuska · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Plachy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LNov 21 · 09:30T. Varnuska185760J. Plachy331111113
T. Varnuska10
LSep 15 · 06:00T. Varnuska2.3871050P. Zmuda1.531112113LAug 14 · 08:59T. Varnuska1.731110761D. Oborny2.0041211113WAug 14 · 08:30T. Varnuska1.80118614113D. Oborny1.91811111232LAug 14 · 07:00T. Varnuska2.2561540J. Stolfa1.571117113LAug 14 · 06:00T. Janata1.5012811113T. Varnuska2.501011861WAug 7 · 08:58T. Varnuska1.911111113M. Vedmoch1.806230WAug 7 · 07:30M. Vedmoch1.576310T. Varnuska2.251111113LAug 7 · 06:00T. Varnuska1.80136741R. Pavelka1.91111111113LJul 21 · 08:58T. Varnuska2.1011114462D. Tuma1.67681111113LJul 21 · 08:00T. Varnuska2.508111111112D. Tuma1.50119137133
J. Plachy10
LSep 14 · 03:30V. Postelt1.651111113J. Plachy2.071540WSep 14 · 02:00J. Plachy1.8381111113J. Prokupek1.83114611WSep 14 · 01:00J. Plachy1.671111113J. Dedek2.104560LSep 14 · 24:00V. Postelt1.6111415163J. Plachy2.2011113141WSep 13 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831391471J. Plachy1.83111116113WSep 12 · 02:00J. Plachy1.5711118113Y. Holovatiuk2.25471141LSep 12 · 01:00J. Plachy1.8051461192J. Dedek1.911112115113LSep 12 · 24:00T. Janata1.501112113J. Plachy2.5081090LSep 11 · 22:30T. Dousa1.831112113J. Plachy1.8371090LSep 11 · 20:58T. Dousa2.1091112113J. Plachy1.671191081
Upcoming Matches
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