TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120204
Played Sep 14Finished
Jiri Plachy
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114115116––––
Jiri Dedek
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Plachy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Plachy above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 48 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Jiri Plachy at 54.0%
48 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Plachy 49–17 Jiri Dedek Jiri Dedek has won 17 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:16What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Plachy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
49-17 in 66
Plachy
Correct
gap of 32 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plachy 1415 vs Dedek 1532
Dedek
Wrong
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plachy 40% vs Dedek 80%
Dedek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plachy 30% vs Dedek 80%
Dedek
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Plachy -1 · Dedek +3
Dedek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Plachy) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dedek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlachy 1.67 / Dedek 2.10
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Plachy)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13120204
Plachy1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 131 of 231
Up 2–0, closes it97% 65 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it87% 96 of 111
Dedek2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 76 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back22% 27 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlachy6wins
AwayDedek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPlachy leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlachy80%4 of 5
AwayDedek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plachy5Dedek5n = 10split evenly
S2Plachy6Dedek4n = 10Plachy took 6 of 10
S3Plachy4Dedek6n = 10Dedek took 6 of 10
S4Plachy4Dedek2n = 6Plachy took 4 of 6
S5Plachy2Dedek1n = 3Plachy took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlachyDedekP − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.034.9+4.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlachyDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime740 / 1594 vs 484 / 93246.4%51.9%740 / 1594 vs 484 / 932Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachyPlachy 1.67/Dedek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.6%
Plachy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Plachy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 24:00J. Plachy29811100J. Dedek361113123
WSep 2 · 11:30J. Plachy4211119113J. Dedek30651181
WAug 27 · 10:30J. Plachy46115811113J. Dedek3681111242
LAug 25 · 20:30J. Plachy376111191J. Dedek4111613113
WAug 24 · 03:41J. Plachy45511711113J. Dedek4511711792
WAug 24 · 24:00J. Plachy331111113J. Dedek165740
LAug 21 · 24:30J. Plachy279990J. Dedek331111113
WAug 18 · 12:58J. Plachy46121112113J. Dedek371491041
LAug 18 · 11:00J. Plachy5111914892J. Dedek549111211113
WAug 17 · 02:30J. Plachy341112113J. Dedek2131080
J. Plachy10
WSep 14 · 02:00J. Plachy1.8381111113J. Prokupek1.83114611LSep 14 · 24:00V. Postelt1.6111415163J. Plachy2.2011113141WSep 13 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831391471J. Plachy1.83111116113WSep 12 · 02:00J. Plachy1.5711118113Y. Holovatiuk2.25471141LSep 12 · 01:00J. Plachy1.8051461192J. Dedek1.911112115113LSep 12 · 24:00T. Janata1.501112113J. Plachy2.5081090LSep 11 · 22:30T. Dousa1.831112113J. Plachy1.8371090LSep 11 · 20:58T. Dousa2.1091112113J. Plachy1.671191081WSep 11 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.911112951J. Plachy1.8091411113LSep 11 · 19:30J. Plachy2.5010121031T. Janata1.50121012113
J. Dedek10
WSep 14 · 02:30V. Postelt1.3687111182J. Dedek3.00111144113WSep 13 · 23:30J. Dedek1.3611118113P. Fojt3.00671151WSep 13 · 22:00J. Dedek1.801110911113J. Prokupek1.9161211992WSep 12 · 03:00J. Dedek1.441111113Y. Holovatiuk2.632550LSep 12 · 02:30T. Janata1.40711611113J. Dedek2.7511711662WSep 12 · 01:00J. Plachy1.8051461192J. Dedek1.911112115113WSep 11 · 23:30J. Dedek1.83911811163T. Dousa1.83117117142LSep 11 · 22:00J. Dedek1.4091161132Y. Holovatiuk2.75115113113WSep 11 · 13:30J. Dedek1.431111113A. Svoboda2.607950WSep 11 · 12:00J. Dedek1.44117117133A. Svoboda2.63411911112
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