TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120215
Played Sep 14Finished
Vladimir Postelt
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811711114114811
Jiri Dedek
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:15 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeVladimir Postelt to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladimir Postelt above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 86 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Vladimir Postelt at 69.5%
86 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Postelt 22–7 Jiri Dedek Jiri Dedek has won 7 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:15What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Postelt
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-7 in 29
Postelt
Wrong
gap of 15 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Postelt 1488 vs Dedek 1514
Dedek
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Postelt 80% vs Dedek 60%
Postelt
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Postelt 60% vs Dedek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Postelt +3 · Dedek -1
Postelt
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Postelt) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dedek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPostelt 1.36 / Dedek 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Postelt)+1.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120215
Postelt1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 117 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it97% 57 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it86% 91 of 106
Dedek3.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 76 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back22% 27 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePostelt7wins
AwayDedek3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPostelt leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePostelt87.5%7 of 8
AwayDedekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Postelt8Dedek2n = 10Postelt took 8 of 10
S2Postelt6Dedek4n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S3Postelt5Dedek5n = 10split evenly
S4Postelt2Dedek2n = 4split evenly
S5Postelt2Dedek1n = 3Postelt took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPosteltDedekP − DBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match33.929.6+4.3per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPosteltDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime430 / 815 vs 484 / 93352.8%51.9%430 / 815 vs 484 / 933Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltPostelt 1.36/Dedek 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.1%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 11:30V. Postelt331111113J. Dedek198470
LSep 8 · 02:30V. Postelt198380J. Dedek331111113
WSep 4 · 20:00V. Postelt331111113J. Dedek217680
WAug 18 · 10:00V. Postelt44116115113J. Dedek3741181132
WAug 15 · 02:58V. Postelt3711114113J. Dedek28641171
WAug 15 · 01:00V. Postelt331111113J. Dedek257990
WJul 5 · 21:30V. Postelt511111711113J. Dedek3941311562
LJul 5 · 19:30V. Postelt3611112842J. Dedek49791111113
WJun 21 · 22:00V. Postelt331111113J. Dedek122190
LJun 16 · 13:30V. Postelt209380J. Dedek331111113
V. Postelt10
WSep 14 · 01:30P. Fojt2.759680V. Postelt1.401111113WSep 14 · 24:00V. Postelt1.6111415163J. Plachy2.2011113141WSep 13 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911186101V. Postelt1.8051111123LSep 10 · 13:30T. Vinter1.601111113V. Postelt2.206870WSep 10 · 12:30M. Kolar2.0010750V. Postelt1.731211113WSep 10 · 11:30V. Postelt1.501111113J. Dedek2.508470LSep 10 · 10:30T. Vinter1.731111113V. Postelt2.009860WSep 9 · 02:00R. Pavelka2.2011981172V. Postelt1.61711119113LSep 9 · 24:30V. Postelt2.00101190J. Trefny1.731213113LSep 8 · 23:00V. Postelt2.5010770R. Krejci1.501211113
J. Dedek10
LSep 14 · 01:00J. Plachy1.671111113J. Dedek2.104560WSep 13 · 23:30J. Dedek1.3611118113P. Fojt3.00671151WSep 13 · 22:00J. Dedek1.801110911113J. Prokupek1.9161211992WSep 12 · 03:00J. Dedek1.441111113Y. Holovatiuk2.632550LSep 12 · 02:30T. Janata1.40711611113J. Dedek2.7511711662WSep 12 · 01:00J. Plachy1.8051461192J. Dedek1.911112115113WSep 11 · 23:30J. Dedek1.83911811163T. Dousa1.83117117142LSep 11 · 22:00J. Dedek1.4091161132Y. Holovatiuk2.75115113113WSep 11 · 13:30J. Dedek1.431111113A. Svoboda2.607950LSep 10 · 11:30V. Postelt1.501111113J. Dedek2.508470
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