TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13128540
Played Sep 15Finished
Tomas Varnuska
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111012511––––
Petr Zmuda
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:31 and never touched — 57.9% is still 57.9%
Graded at full timeTomas Varnuska to win
57.9%
57.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Varnuska above · Petr Zmuda below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 56 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Tomas Varnuska at 57.9%
56 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Varnuska 0–1 Petr Zmuda Tomas Varnuska has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:31What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Zmuda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Varnuska 1508 vs Zmuda 1522
Zmuda
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Varnuska 40% vs Zmuda 20%
Varnuska
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Varnuska 30% vs Zmuda 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Varnuska -1 · Zmuda -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Zmuda) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zmuda form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarnuska 2.38 / Zmuda 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Zmuda)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13128540
Varnuska2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 9 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back29% 2 of 7
Zmuda1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite56% won 47 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it82% 31 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVarnuska0wins
AwayZmuda1wins
Zmuda leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricVarnuskaZmudaV − ZBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match22.034.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarnuskaZmudaBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 109 vs 128 / 24345.9%52.7%50 / 109 vs 128 / 243Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZmudaVarnuska 2.38/Zmuda 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Zmuda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zmuda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 15 · 06:00T. Varnuska2271050P. Zmuda341112113
T. Varnuska10
LAug 14 · 08:59T. Varnuska1.731110761D. Oborny2.0041211113WAug 14 · 08:30T. Varnuska1.80118614113D. Oborny1.91811111232LAug 14 · 07:00T. Varnuska2.2561540J. Stolfa1.571117113LAug 14 · 06:00T. Janata1.5012811113T. Varnuska2.501011861WAug 7 · 08:58T. Varnuska1.911111113M. Vedmoch1.806230LAug 7 · 08:00T. Varnuska1.73610100J. Plachy2.001112123WAug 7 · 07:30M. Vedmoch1.576310T. Varnuska2.251111113LAug 7 · 06:00T. Varnuska1.80136741R. Pavelka1.91111111113LJul 21 · 08:58T. Varnuska2.1011114462D. Tuma1.67681111113LJul 21 · 08:00T. Varnuska2.508111111112D. Tuma1.50119137133
P. Zmuda10
WSep 15 · 07:00P. Zmuda1.91115119113M. Vesely1.8091131172LSep 14 · 09:00P. Zmuda1.73911681M. Vesely2.0011611113LSep 14 · 08:30P. Zmuda2.00411441V. Cermak1.7311811113WSep 14 · 07:00P. Zmuda1.67591111113M. Vesely2.1011114992LSep 14 · 06:00J. Stolfa1.83711116123P. Zmuda1.83119911102LAug 23 · 20:59M. Chlebecek1.9111119113P. Zmuda1.80941151LAug 23 · 20:00P. Zmuda1.91911781M. Chlebecek1.8011411113LAug 23 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.001111113P. Zmuda1.738360LAug 23 · 18:00P. Zmuda2.209860T. Janata1.611111113WAug 22 · 09:00D. Tuma2.2051190P. Zmuda1.611113113
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