TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124991
Played Sep 14Finished
Jakub Stolfa
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111191196111210
Petr Zmuda
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:48 and never touched — 59.5% is still 59.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Stolfa to win
59.5%
59.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Petr Zmuda below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 97 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Jakub Stolfa at 59.5%
97 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Stolfa 9–6 Petr Zmuda Petr Zmuda has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:48What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Zmuda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Stolfa
Correct
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stolfa 1620 vs Zmuda 1505
Stolfa
Correct
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stolfa 40% vs Zmuda 20%
Stolfa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stolfa 60% vs Zmuda 20%
Stolfa
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stolfa -1 · Zmuda -4
Zmuda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stolfa) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zmuda form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolfa 1.83 / Zmuda 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stolfa)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124991
Stolfa1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Zmuda1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStolfa5wins
AwayZmuda5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStolfa66.7%2 of 3
AwayZmuda57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stolfa3Zmuda7n = 10Zmuda took 7 of 10
S2Stolfa7Zmuda3n = 10Stolfa took 7 of 10
S3Stolfa4Zmuda6n = 10Zmuda took 6 of 10
S4Stolfa5Zmuda4n = 9Stolfa took 5 of 9
S5Stolfa2Zmuda2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStolfaZmudaS − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.241.2−1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolfaZmudaBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 350 vs 127 / 24352.3%52.3%183 / 350 vs 127 / 243Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StolfaStolfa 1.83/Zmuda 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Stolfa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stolfa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 06:00J. Stolfa47711116123P. Zmuda50119911102
WAug 22 · 08:00J. Stolfa48111178113P. Zmuda4167111162
LAug 12 · 15:00J. Stolfa4171171242P. Zmuda511181110113
LJul 14 · 12:00J. Stolfa35912681P. Zmuda43111011113
LJul 13 · 09:30J. Stolfa49612111192P. Zmuda49111458113
WJul 13 · 08:00J. Stolfa4381111133P. Zmuda341157111
LJul 7 · 12:00J. Stolfa351168101P. Zmuda3951111123
WJul 7 · 08:58J. Stolfa4071111113P. Zmuda30113791
LJul 7 · 08:00J. Stolfa2613670P. Zmuda371511113
WJul 6 · 12:00J. Stolfa3811113133P. Zmuda388811111
J. Stolfa10
LSep 10 · 20:58M. Volf2.3811911113J. Stolfa1.53511581WSep 10 · 20:00J. Stolfa1.7391111113M. Volf2.00117751LSep 10 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.0011115113J. Stolfa1.73991141LSep 10 · 18:00J. Stolfa1.7311450K. Kapras2.001311113WSep 10 · 09:30J. Svoboda1.8011811762J. Stolfa1.91911911113LSep 10 · 08:00J. Stolfa1.831162101J. Svoboda1.8381111123WSep 10 · 07:30M. Vesely2.00118111072J. Stolfa1.73711912113WSep 10 · 06:00J. Stolfa1.53117117113T. Vinter2.3861191182WSep 9 · 21:30J. Stolfa1.871311113M. Bittner1.8311690WSep 9 · 20:30D. Tuma1.83118581J. Stolfa1.8391111113
P. Zmuda10
LAug 23 · 20:59M. Chlebecek1.9111119113P. Zmuda1.80941151LAug 23 · 20:00P. Zmuda1.91911781M. Chlebecek1.8011411113LAug 23 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.001111113P. Zmuda1.738360LAug 23 · 18:00P. Zmuda2.209860T. Janata1.611111113WAug 22 · 09:00D. Tuma2.2051190P. Zmuda1.611113113LAug 22 · 08:00P. Zmuda1.6767111162J. Stolfa2.10111178113LAug 22 · 07:30D. Tuma1.9111116123P. Zmuda1.806511101LAug 22 · 06:00P. Zmuda1.80118771R. Pavelka1.9151111113LAug 12 · 17:28T. Janata1.8011129113P. Zmuda1.904101191WAug 12 · 16:00T. Janata1.8011911772P. Zmuda1.91911811113
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