TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13128410
Played Sep 14Finished
Petr Zmuda
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911116611811––
Michal Vesely
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingPetr Zmuda above · Michal Vesely below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11
73 points played in total.
H2H Petr Zmuda 1–1 Michal Vesely Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Zmuda beat Vesely 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zmuda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vesely form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZmuda 1.73 / Vesely 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zmuda)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13128410
Zmuda1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite56% won 46 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it82% 31 of 38
Vesely2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 13 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back29% 4 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeZmuda1wins
AwayVesely1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricZmudaVeselyZ − VBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match42.541.5+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZmudaVeselyBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 244 vs 66 / 11852.1%55.9%127 / 244 vs 66 / 118Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZmudaZmuda 1.73/Vesely 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zmuda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vesely won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 12 · 14:30P. Zmuda44311811112M. Vesely49117117133
WJul 13 · 06:30P. Zmuda4171211113M. Vesely341110671
P. Zmuda10
LSep 14 · 08:30P. Zmuda2.00411441V. Cermak1.7311811113WSep 14 · 07:00P. Zmuda1.67591111113M. Vesely2.1011114992LSep 14 · 06:00J. Stolfa1.83711116123P. Zmuda1.83119911102LAug 23 · 20:59M. Chlebecek1.9111119113P. Zmuda1.80941151LAug 23 · 20:00P. Zmuda1.91911781M. Chlebecek1.8011411113LAug 23 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.001111113P. Zmuda1.738360LAug 23 · 18:00P. Zmuda2.209860T. Janata1.611111113WAug 22 · 09:00D. Tuma2.2051190P. Zmuda1.611113113LAug 22 · 08:00P. Zmuda1.6767111162J. Stolfa2.10111178113LAug 22 · 07:30D. Tuma1.9111116123P. Zmuda1.806511101
M. Vesely10
LSep 14 · 08:00J. Stolfa1.671111113M. Vesely2.109690LSep 14 · 07:00P. Zmuda1.67591111113M. Vesely2.1011114992WSep 14 · 06:30M. Vesely2.25971211133V. Cermak1.571111107112LSep 10 · 08:58T. Vinter1.7311711123M. Vesely2.002116101LSep 10 · 08:30T. Vinter2.0011811113M. Vesely1.73511641LSep 10 · 07:30M. Vesely2.00118111072J. Stolfa1.73711912113LSep 10 · 06:30J. Svoboda1.7311811113M. Vesely2.00811681WAug 31 · 13:29M. Vesely1.40117116143M. Vedmoch2.75511711122WAug 31 · 12:00M. Vesely1.801111153M. Vedmoch1.9177130WAug 31 · 11:30J. Trefny2.20111111572M. Vesely1.61137911113
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