TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12270982
Played Jul 21Finished
Tomas Varnuska
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81111911131171113
Daniel Tuma
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:32 and never touched — 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tuma to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Varnuska above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 105 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Daniel Tuma at 61.9%
105 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Varnuska 3–7 Daniel Tuma Tomas Varnuska has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:32What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Tuma
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Tuma
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Varnuska 1555 vs Tuma 1517
Varnuska
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Varnuska 60% vs Tuma 20%
Varnuska
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Varnuska 60% vs Tuma 20%
Varnuska
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Varnuska +1 · Tuma -3
Tuma
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Tuma) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarnuska 2.50 / Tuma 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 66%
Edge (Tuma)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12270982
Varnuska2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 8 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back23% 3 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back27% 3 of 11
Tuma1.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 147 of 240
Up 2–0, closes it97% 73 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it77% 112 of 146
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVarnuska3wins
AwayTuma7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderTuma leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVarnuska60%3 of 5
AwayTuma100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Varnuska5Tuma5n = 10split evenly
S2Varnuska5Tuma5n = 10split evenly
S3Varnuska4Tuma6n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S4Varnuska2Tuma5n = 7Tuma took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVarnuskaTumaV − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.937.2−1.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarnuskaTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 126 vs 725 / 141746.8%51.2%59 / 126 vs 725 / 1417Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaVarnuska 2.50/Tuma 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.5%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 10 · 08:00T. Varnuska36791191D. Tuma4111118113
LOct 16 · 08:00T. Varnuska214890D. Tuma331111113
LSep 18 · 08:30T. Varnuska3711610101D. Tuma4161112123
LSep 12 · 06:00T. Varnuska381311771D. Tuma4615911113
LAug 26 · 09:02T. Varnuska33411991D. Tuma4111811113
WAug 26 · 07:30T. Varnuska341111123D. Tuma1853100
WJun 17 · 07:30T. Varnuska331111113D. Tuma259970
WJun 9 · 09:30T. Varnuska4414712113D. Tuma3612111031
LJun 9 · 08:00T. Varnuska4712981172D. Tuma501011117113
LMar 6 · 08:00T. Varnuska36811981D. Tuma4111811113
T. Varnuska10
LSep 15 · 06:00T. Varnuska2.3871050P. Zmuda1.531112113LAug 14 · 08:59T. Varnuska1.731110761D. Oborny2.0041211113WAug 14 · 08:30T. Varnuska1.80118614113D. Oborny1.91811111232LAug 14 · 07:00T. Varnuska2.2561540J. Stolfa1.571117113LAug 14 · 06:00T. Janata1.5012811113T. Varnuska2.501011861WAug 7 · 08:58T. Varnuska1.911111113M. Vedmoch1.806230LAug 7 · 08:00T. Varnuska1.73610100J. Plachy2.001112123WAug 7 · 07:30M. Vedmoch1.576310T. Varnuska2.251111113LAug 7 · 06:00T. Varnuska1.80136741R. Pavelka1.91111111113LJul 21 · 08:58T. Varnuska2.1011114462D. Tuma1.67681111113
D. Tuma10
LSep 15 · 03:30P. Pycha1.601111123D. Tuma2.2055100WSep 15 · 01:30D. Tuma1.671111113R. Krejci2.106860WSep 15 · 24:30M. Volf2.00811119102D. Tuma1.73117611123WSep 14 · 23:30P. Pycha1.5761171192D. Tuma2.25119117113LSep 14 · 22:30D. Tuma2.2010116131A. Hlawatschke1.6112411153WSep 14 · 13:30D. Tuma1.431111113F. Just2.607450WSep 14 · 12:00D. Tuma2.10411119123V. Cermak1.67118911102LSep 14 · 11:30M. Vesely2.10711148113D. Tuma1.67116121182WSep 14 · 10:00D. Tuma1.44121114113F. Just2.631481271WJul 21 · 08:58T. Varnuska2.1011114462D. Tuma1.67681111113
Upcoming Matches
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