TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124069
Played Sep 14Finished
Daniel Tuma
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12141181412117––
Frantisek Just
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:29 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Just to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Frantisek Just below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 89 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Frantisek Just at 56.8%
89 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tuma 18–12 Frantisek Just Frantisek Just has won 12 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:29What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Tuma
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-12 in 30
Tuma
Correct
gap of 6 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1586 vs Just 1621
Just
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 20% vs Just 80%
Just
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 20% vs Just 60%
Just
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma +1 · Just +4
Just
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Tuma) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Just form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 1.44 / Just 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Tuma)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124069
Tuma1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 127 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it93% 63 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it78% 95 of 122
Just2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 19 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back8% 3 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuma5wins
AwayJust5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuma60%3 of 5
AwayJust60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma5Just5n = 10split evenly
S2Tuma6Just4n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S3Tuma6Just4n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S4Tuma5Just2n = 7Tuma took 5 of 7
S5Tuma1Just3n = 4Just took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTumaJustT − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.836.0+3.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaJustBasisWin rate · lifetime762 / 1460 vs 176 / 35352.2%49.9%762 / 1460 vs 176 / 353Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaTuma 1.44/Just 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 27 · 02:30D. Tuma331111113F. Just198380
WJul 23 · 13:02D. Tuma48911611113F. Just3511411452
LJul 23 · 11:00D. Tuma28512561F. Just43111011113
LJul 21 · 06:30D. Tuma4011811101F. Just4213116123
WJul 8 · 17:00D. Tuma331111113F. Just248970
LJul 8 · 15:30D. Tuma47111291232F. Just493141110113
WJul 4 · 11:30D. Tuma331111113F. Just157350
WJun 21 · 11:30D. Tuma4061211113F. Just361110871
LApr 19 · 17:29D. Tuma46114111192F. Just46131165113
LApr 19 · 15:30D. Tuma50111181192F. Just51713119113
D. Tuma10
WSep 13 · 02:30M. Sobisek1.808111181D. Tuma1.9111613113LSep 13 · 01:00R. Krejci2.101111113D. Tuma1.674640LSep 12 · 23:30D. Tuma2.20514131272M. Vizek1.6111121114113LSep 12 · 22:00D. Tuma2.105770P. Pycha1.671111113LSep 9 · 21:00D. Tuma2.2551530M. Pikous1.571117113LSep 9 · 20:30D. Tuma1.83118581J. Stolfa1.8391111113LSep 9 · 19:00D. Tuma2.3897111182M. Bittner1.53111169113WSep 9 · 18:00M. Pikous1.3699111182D. Tuma3.00111155113LSep 9 · 03:00D. Tuma2.105960A. Hlawatschke1.671111113LSep 9 · 02:30M. Sopko1.441111113D. Tuma2.636960
F. Just10
WSep 4 · 17:30F. Just1.301311113R. Pavelka3.4011930WSep 4 · 16:30J. Prokupek3.104770F. Just1.301111113WSep 4 · 15:30F. Just1.381111113R. Pavelka2.802760WSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.007780F. Just1.701111113LAug 25 · 02:30F. Just2.385780D. Tuma1.531111113WAug 25 · 01:30M. Vesely2.20115111142F. Just1.61911137113LAug 25 · 24:00F. Just1.833730R. Krejci1.831111113LAug 24 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke2.3871111113F. Just1.53115791WAug 21 · 16:59J. Stolfa2.505380F. Just1.501111113LAug 21 · 16:30F. Just1.449870J. Stolfa2.631111113
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