TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13132944
Played Sep 15Finished
Patrik Pycha
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151151210––––
Daniel Tuma
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tuma to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPatrik Pycha above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 54 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Daniel Tuma at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Pycha 51–42 Daniel Tuma Daniel Tuma has won 42 of their 93 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Tuma beat Pycha 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:14What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Pycha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
51-42 in 93
Pycha
Correct
gap of 9 in 93, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pycha 1588 vs Tuma 1641
Tuma
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pycha 60% vs Tuma 80%
Tuma
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pycha 70% vs Tuma 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pycha +2 · Tuma +3
Tuma
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pycha) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPycha 1.60 / Tuma 2.20
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pycha)-3.9pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13132944
Pycha1.60
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 69 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it78% 53 of 68
Tuma2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 167 of 350
Down 0–1, comes back29% 54 of 184
Down 0–2, comes back11% 11 of 97
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePycha9wins
AwayTuma1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPycha leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePycha87.5%7 of 8
AwayTuman = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pycha8Tuma2n = 10Pycha took 8 of 10
S2Pycha6Tuma4n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S3Pycha6Tuma4n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S4Pycha6Tuma1n = 7Pycha took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPychaTumaP − TBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.832.7+6.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPychaTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime495 / 945 vs 768 / 146852.4%52.3%495 / 945 vs 768 / 1468Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PychaPycha 1.60/Tuma 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pycha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pycha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 22:00P. Pycha331111113D. Tuma195770
LAug 28 · 22:00P. Pycha361186111D. Tuma4491111133
WAug 15 · 03:30P. Pycha3631111113D. Tuma34117881
WAug 15 · 01:30P. Pycha331111113D. Tuma195770
WAug 14 · 02:30P. Pycha4211911113D. Tuma34811961
WAug 1 · 02:30P. Pycha4211146113D. Tuma399121171
WJul 18 · 01:00P. Pycha341211113D. Tuma2410950
WJul 13 · 22:00P. Pycha491061111113D. Tuma4412118672
WJul 5 · 03:30P. Pycha3711114113D. Tuma28551171
WJul 4 · 22:00P. Pycha46116711113D. Tuma4281111572
P. Pycha10
WSep 15 · 02:30R. Krejci2.38108111262P. Pycha1.531211910113WSep 15 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.83121070P. Pycha1.831412113LSep 14 · 23:30P. Pycha1.5761171192D. Tuma2.25119117113WSep 14 · 22:00P. Pycha1.671112113M. Volf2.1071060LSep 13 · 03:28P. Pycha1.807101181R. Krejci1.9111123113LSep 13 · 02:00R. Krejci2.101111113P. Pycha1.678130WSep 13 · 24:30P. Pycha1.8311117113M. Vizek1.83971141WSep 12 · 23:00P. Pycha1.839121112113M. Sobisek1.83111461062WSep 12 · 22:00D. Tuma2.105770P. Pycha1.671111113WSep 12 · 02:00V. Cermak2.101071181P. Pycha1.6712115113
D. Tuma10
WSep 15 · 01:30D. Tuma1.671111113R. Krejci2.106860WSep 15 · 24:30M. Volf2.00811119102D. Tuma1.73117611123WSep 14 · 23:30P. Pycha1.5761171192D. Tuma2.25119117113LSep 14 · 22:30D. Tuma2.2010116131A. Hlawatschke1.6112411153WSep 14 · 13:30D. Tuma1.431111113F. Just2.607450WSep 14 · 12:00D. Tuma2.10411119123V. Cermak1.67118911102LSep 14 · 11:30M. Vesely2.10711148113D. Tuma1.67116121182WSep 14 · 10:00D. Tuma1.44121114113F. Just2.631481271WSep 13 · 02:30M. Sobisek1.808111181D. Tuma1.9111613113LSep 12 · 22:00D. Tuma2.105770P. Pycha1.671111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.