TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13128720
Played Sep 15Finished
Richard Krejci
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10128111191210611
Patrik Pycha
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRichard Krejci to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRichard Krejci above · Patrik Pycha below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 100 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Richard Krejci at 54.0%
100 points played in total.
H2H Richard Krejci 7–12 Patrik Pycha Richard Krejci has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:11What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Pycha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-12 in 19
Pycha
Correct
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krejci 1581 vs Pycha 1577
Krejci
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krejci 40% vs Pycha 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krejci 50% vs Pycha 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krejci -3 · Pycha +1
Krejci
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Pycha) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pycha form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrejci 2.38 / Pycha 1.53
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Pycha)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13128720
Krejci2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 26 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back19% 7 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Pycha1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 69 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it78% 53 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrejci6wins
AwayPycha4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKrejci leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrejci100%5 of 5
AwayPycha80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krejci5Pycha5n = 10split evenly
S2Krejci6Pycha4n = 10Krejci took 6 of 10
S3Krejci8Pycha2n = 10Krejci took 8 of 10
S4Krejci3Pycha3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrejciPychaK − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.230.1+4.1per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrejciPychaBasisWin rate · lifetime189 / 357 vs 494 / 94452.9%52.3%189 / 357 vs 494 / 944Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PychaKrejci 2.38/Pycha 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.4%
Pycha · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pycha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 03:28R. Krejci3711123113P. Pycha367101181
WSep 13 · 02:00R. Krejci331111113P. Pycha128130
WSep 12 · 24:30R. Krejci4291111113P. Pycha27115561
WSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci341211113P. Pycha1810350
WJun 2 · 24:30R. Krejci331111113P. Pycha186840
LApr 25 · 03:29R. Krejci249780P. Pycha331111113
WApr 25 · 01:00R. Krejci4414811113P. Pycha341211651
LApr 5 · 01:00R. Krejci30951151P. Pycha4011117113
LMar 28 · 04:29R. Krejci3661111442P. Pycha46116711113
LMar 28 · 01:00R. Krejci29831171P. Pycha3711114113
R. Krejci10
LSep 15 · 01:30D. Tuma1.671111113R. Krejci2.106860LSep 15 · 24:00R. Krejci3.00113115112A. Hlawatschke1.36711711133LSep 14 · 23:00M. Volf1.911111113R. Krejci1.808950WSep 13 · 03:28P. Pycha1.807101181R. Krejci1.9111123113WSep 13 · 02:00R. Krejci2.101111113P. Pycha1.678130WSep 13 · 01:00R. Krejci2.101111113D. Tuma1.674640LSep 13 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.5311119113R. Krejci2.38731181LSep 12 · 22:30M. Vizek1.501111119113R. Krejci2.5013721182WSep 12 · 02:58R. Krejci2.00119611113V. Cermak1.7371111592WSep 12 · 01:30R. Krejci3.251111113M. Sopko1.338790
P. Pycha10
WSep 15 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.83121070P. Pycha1.831412113LSep 14 · 23:30P. Pycha1.5761171192D. Tuma2.25119117113WSep 14 · 22:00P. Pycha1.671112113M. Volf2.1071060LSep 13 · 03:28P. Pycha1.807101181R. Krejci1.9111123113LSep 13 · 02:00R. Krejci2.101111113P. Pycha1.678130WSep 13 · 24:30P. Pycha1.8311117113M. Vizek1.83971141WSep 12 · 23:00P. Pycha1.839121112113M. Sobisek1.83111461062WSep 12 · 22:00D. Tuma2.105770P. Pycha1.671111113WSep 12 · 02:00V. Cermak2.101071181P. Pycha1.6712115113LSep 12 · 24:30P. Pycha1.57115561R. Krejci2.2591111113
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