TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13128714
Played Sep 15Finished
Ales Hlawatschke
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
12141012711––––
Patrik Pycha
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAles Hlawatschke to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAles Hlawatschke above · Patrik Pycha below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 66 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Ales Hlawatschke at 54.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Ales Hlawatschke 23–16 Patrik Pycha Patrik Pycha has won 16 of their 39 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:11What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Pycha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-16 in 39
Hlawatschke
Wrong
gap of 7 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hlawatschke 1621 vs Pycha 1560
Hlawatschke
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hlawatschke 80% vs Pycha 40%
Hlawatschke
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hlawatschke 50% vs Pycha 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hlawatschke +2 · Pycha -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hlawatschke)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pycha form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHlawatschke 1.83 / Pycha 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hlawatschke)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13128714
Hlawatschke1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Pycha1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHlawatschke5wins
AwayPycha5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHlawatschken = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPycha62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hlawatschke2Pycha8n = 10Pycha took 8 of 10
S2Hlawatschke7Pycha3n = 10Hlawatschke took 7 of 10
S3Hlawatschke6Pycha4n = 10Hlawatschke took 6 of 10
S4Hlawatschke4Pycha6n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S5Hlawatschke3Pycha2n = 5Hlawatschke took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHlawatschkePychaH − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match40.741.7−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHlawatschkePychaBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 220 vs 493 / 94350%52.3%110 / 220 vs 493 / 943Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HlawatschkeHlawatschke 1.83/Pycha 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hlawatschke · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pycha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 14 · 03:00A. Hlawatschke24391111P. Pycha3911116113
WAug 13 · 22:00A. Hlawatschke501111115123P. Pycha43631311102
WJul 7 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke3851111113P. Pycha36119971
WFeb 6 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke46411911113P. Pycha4111411782
LJan 23 · 04:00A. Hlawatschke32511791P. Pycha3811511113
LJan 22 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke37981191P. Pycha4111118113
WJan 7 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke3951211113P. Pycha371110971
LDec 15 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke4887131192P. Pycha481111114113
WDec 15 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke50161157113P. Pycha47143111182
LDec 11 · 10:30A. Hlawatschke4371111592P. Pycha47119511113
A. Hlawatschke10
LSep 15 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke2.2012137101M. Volf1.61141111123WSep 15 · 24:00R. Krejci3.00113115112A. Hlawatschke1.36711711133WSep 14 · 22:30D. Tuma2.2010116131A. Hlawatschke1.6112411153LSep 10 · 02:58A. Hlawatschke1.7376110M. Vedmoch2.001111133WSep 10 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke1.8311611113D. Kouble1.83811481WSep 10 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.734111310113M. Vedmoch2.00119111292LSep 10 · 24:00J. Hradecky1.67116811113A. Hlawatschke2.1091111962LSep 9 · 22:30V. Cermak3.5012411113A. Hlawatschke1.281011561WSep 9 · 03:00D. Tuma2.105960A. Hlawatschke1.671111113LSep 9 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke2.38314951M. Sobisek1.53111211113
P. Pycha10
WSep 15 · 02:30R. Krejci2.38108111262P. Pycha1.531211910113LSep 14 · 23:30P. Pycha1.5761171192D. Tuma2.25119117113WSep 14 · 22:00P. Pycha1.671112113M. Volf2.1071060LSep 13 · 03:28P. Pycha1.807101181R. Krejci1.9111123113LSep 13 · 02:00R. Krejci2.101111113P. Pycha1.678130WSep 13 · 24:30P. Pycha1.8311117113M. Vizek1.83971141WSep 12 · 23:00P. Pycha1.839121112113M. Sobisek1.83111461062WSep 12 · 22:00D. Tuma2.105770P. Pycha1.671111113WSep 12 · 02:00V. Cermak2.101071181P. Pycha1.6712115113LSep 12 · 24:30P. Pycha1.57115561R. Krejci2.2591111113
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