TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13123233
Played Sep 13Finished
Patrik Pycha
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111012113811––
Richard Krejci
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingPatrik Pycha above · Richard Krejci below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11
73 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Pycha 12–6 Richard Krejci Richard Krejci has won 6 of their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Krejci beat Pycha 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krejci)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pycha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPycha 1.80 / Krejci 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krejci)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13123233
Pycha1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 69 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it78% 53 of 68
Krejci1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 23 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back19% 7 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePycha5wins
AwayKrejci5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePycha83.3%5 of 6
AwayKrejci100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pycha6Krejci4n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S2Pycha5Krejci5n = 10split evenly
S3Pycha2Krejci8n = 10Krejci took 8 of 10
S4Pycha3Krejci2n = 5Pycha took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPychaKrejciP − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match30.132.7−2.6per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPychaKrejciBasisWin rate · lifetime492 / 940 vs 188 / 35352.3%53.3%492 / 940 vs 188 / 353Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrejciPycha 1.80/Krejci 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krejci · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krejci won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 02:00P. Pycha128130R. Krejci331111113
LSep 12 · 24:30P. Pycha27115561R. Krejci4291111113
LSep 5 · 02:00P. Pycha1810350R. Krejci341211113
LJun 2 · 24:30P. Pycha186840R. Krejci331111113
WApr 25 · 03:29P. Pycha331111113R. Krejci249780
LApr 25 · 01:00P. Pycha341211651R. Krejci4414811113
WApr 5 · 01:00P. Pycha4011117113R. Krejci30951151
WMar 28 · 04:29P. Pycha46116711113R. Krejci3661111442
WMar 28 · 01:00P. Pycha3711114113R. Krejci29831171
WDec 24 · 16:30P. Pycha361411113R. Krejci2212550
P. Pycha10
LSep 13 · 02:00R. Krejci2.101111113P. Pycha1.678130WSep 13 · 24:30P. Pycha1.8311117113M. Vizek1.83971141WSep 12 · 23:00P. Pycha1.839121112113M. Sobisek1.83111461062WSep 12 · 22:00D. Tuma2.105770P. Pycha1.671111113WSep 12 · 02:00V. Cermak2.101071181P. Pycha1.6712115113LSep 12 · 24:30P. Pycha1.57115561R. Krejci2.2591111113LSep 11 · 23:00P. Pycha2.509511101M. Sopko1.5011113123LSep 11 · 22:00S. Kadavy1.73101111123P. Pycha2.001297101LSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci2.501211113P. Pycha1.5010350
R. Krejci10
WSep 13 · 02:00R. Krejci2.101111113P. Pycha1.678130WSep 13 · 01:00R. Krejci2.101111113D. Tuma1.674640LSep 13 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.5311119113R. Krejci2.38731181LSep 12 · 22:30M. Vizek1.501111119113R. Krejci2.5013721182WSep 12 · 02:58R. Krejci2.00119611113V. Cermak1.7371111592WSep 12 · 01:30R. Krejci3.251111113M. Sopko1.338790WSep 12 · 24:30P. Pycha1.57115561R. Krejci2.2591111113LSep 11 · 23:30S. Kadavy1.6114611123R. Krejci2.2012118101LSep 11 · 22:30R. Krejci2.008490V. Cermak1.731111113WSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci2.501211113P. Pycha1.5010350
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.