TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13128705
Played Sep 15Finished
Ales Hlawatschke
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
121413117111012––
Matej Volf
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:11 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMatej Volf to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Hlawatschke above · Matej Volf below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 90 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Matej Volf at 54.9%
90 points played in total.
H2H Ales Hlawatschke 0–3 Matej Volf Ales Hlawatschke has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:11What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Volf
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Volf
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hlawatschke 1605 vs Volf 1540
Hlawatschke
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hlawatschke 60% vs Volf 40%
Hlawatschke
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hlawatschke 50% vs Volf 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hlawatschke -1 · Volf -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Volf) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volf form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHlawatschke 2.20 / Volf 1.61
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hlawatschke)+3.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13128705
Hlawatschke2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 10 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back21% 3 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Volf1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 38 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it79% 30 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHlawatschke0wins
AwayVolf3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderVolf leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hlawatschke2Volf1n = 3Hlawatschke took 2 of 3
S2Hlawatschke0Volf3n = 3Volf took 3 of 3
S3Hlawatschke1Volf2n = 3Volf took 2 of 3
S4Hlawatschke1Volf2n = 3Volf took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricHlawatschkeVolfH − VBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match34.344.0−9.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHlawatschkeVolfBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 221 vs 206 / 40049.8%51.5%110 / 221 vs 206 / 400Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolfHlawatschke 2.20/Volf 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Volf · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Volf won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 11 · 24:00A. Hlawatschke311111541M. Volf4491311113
LJan 29 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke341051181M. Volf4312119113
LJan 7 · 24:30A. Hlawatschke3811731162M. Volf45511117113
A. Hlawatschke10
LSep 15 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.83121070P. Pycha1.831412113WSep 15 · 24:00R. Krejci3.00113115112A. Hlawatschke1.36711711133WSep 14 · 22:30D. Tuma2.2010116131A. Hlawatschke1.6112411153LSep 10 · 02:58A. Hlawatschke1.7376110M. Vedmoch2.001111133WSep 10 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke1.8311611113D. Kouble1.83811481WSep 10 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.734111310113M. Vedmoch2.00119111292LSep 10 · 24:00J. Hradecky1.67116811113A. Hlawatschke2.1091111962LSep 9 · 22:30V. Cermak3.5012411113A. Hlawatschke1.281011561WSep 9 · 03:00D. Tuma2.105960A. Hlawatschke1.671111113LSep 9 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke2.38314951M. Sobisek1.53111211113
M. Volf10
LSep 15 · 24:30M. Volf2.00811119102D. Tuma1.73117611123WSep 14 · 23:00M. Volf1.911111113R. Krejci1.808950LSep 14 · 22:00P. Pycha1.671112113M. Volf2.1071060LSep 11 · 01:30M. Volf2.63134120M. Sobisek1.441511143WSep 11 · 24:30V. Cermak2.001081112112M. Volf1.731211910133LSep 10 · 23:30M. Vedmoch2.2581212113M. Volf1.5711101081LSep 10 · 22:30M. Volf1.91111110862M. Vizek1.80841211113WSep 10 · 20:58M. Volf2.3811911113J. Stolfa1.53511581LSep 10 · 20:00J. Stolfa1.7391111113M. Volf2.00117751WSep 10 · 19:00K. Kapras1.73111111272M. Volf2.00371311113
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