TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124718
Played Sep 14Finished
Matej Volf
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119115––––
Richard Krejci
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:20 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeRichard Krejci to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMatej Volf above · Richard Krejci below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 55 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Richard Krejci at 57.4%
55 points played in total.
H2H Matej Volf 5–7 Richard Krejci Matej Volf has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:20What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Krejci
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Krejci
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volf 1517 vs Krejci 1635
Krejci
Wrong
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volf 20% vs Krejci 60%
Krejci
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volf 30% vs Krejci 60%
Krejci
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volf -2 · Krejci +3
Krejci
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Krejci) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volf form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolf 1.91 / Krejci 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Krejci)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124718
Volf1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 34 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back30% 13 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Krejci1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 51 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it88% 36 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolf5wins
AwayKrejci5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolf71.4%5 of 7
AwayKrejci100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volf7Krejci3n = 10Volf took 7 of 10
S2Volf5Krejci5n = 10split evenly
S3Volf6Krejci4n = 10Volf took 6 of 10
S4Volf2Krejci2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolfKrejciV − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.634.9+0.7per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolfKrejciBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 398 vs 189 / 35451.5%53.4%205 / 398 vs 189 / 354Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrejciVolf 1.91/Krejci 1.80
Miss
What we said
54.7%
Krejci · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Volf won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf2571260R. Krejci361114113
WSep 6 · 19:00M. Volf331111113R. Krejci217680
LJul 20 · 02:00M. Volf351147131R. Krejci4471111153
WJan 22 · 01:30M. Volf361111143R. Krejci2888120
WSep 11 · 24:30M. Volf341111123R. Krejci2174100
WSep 2 · 22:30M. Volf47131111123R. Krejci4211138101
LAug 7 · 03:00M. Volf49121193142R. Krejci541061111163
WAug 6 · 22:30M. Volf331111113R. Krejci269980
LMay 25 · 22:30M. Volf4476111192R. Krejci44111156113
LApr 6 · 01:30M. Volf209650R. Krejci331111113
M. Volf10
LSep 14 · 22:00P. Pycha1.671112113M. Volf2.1071060LSep 11 · 01:30M. Volf2.63134120M. Sobisek1.441511143WSep 11 · 24:30V. Cermak2.001081112112M. Volf1.731211910133LSep 10 · 23:30M. Vedmoch2.2581212113M. Volf1.5711101081LSep 10 · 22:30M. Volf1.91111110862M. Vizek1.80841211113WSep 10 · 20:58M. Volf2.3811911113J. Stolfa1.53511581LSep 10 · 20:00J. Stolfa1.7391111113M. Volf2.00117751WSep 10 · 19:00K. Kapras1.73111111272M. Volf2.00371311113LSep 10 · 18:30M. Volf2.25411261M. Sobisek1.5711811113LSep 7 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5381111113M. Volf2.38114681
R. Krejci10
WSep 13 · 03:28P. Pycha1.807101181R. Krejci1.9111123113WSep 13 · 02:00R. Krejci2.101111113P. Pycha1.678130WSep 13 · 01:00R. Krejci2.101111113D. Tuma1.674640LSep 13 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.5311119113R. Krejci2.38731181LSep 12 · 22:30M. Vizek1.501111119113R. Krejci2.5013721182WSep 12 · 02:58R. Krejci2.00119611113V. Cermak1.7371111592WSep 12 · 01:30R. Krejci3.251111113M. Sopko1.338790WSep 12 · 24:30P. Pycha1.57115561R. Krejci2.2591111113LSep 11 · 23:30S. Kadavy1.6114611123R. Krejci2.2012118101LSep 11 · 22:30R. Krejci2.008490V. Cermak1.731111113
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