TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13128679
Played Sep 14Finished
Patrik Pycha
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611119711117911
Daniel Tuma
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:01 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timePatrik Pycha to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPatrik Pycha above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 93 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Patrik Pycha at 60.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Pycha 51–42 Daniel Tuma Daniel Tuma has won 42 of their 93 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:01What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Pycha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
51-42 in 93
Pycha
Wrong
gap of 9 in 93, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pycha 1570 vs Tuma 1610
Tuma
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pycha 60% vs Tuma 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pycha 50% vs Tuma 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pycha +1 · Tuma -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pycha) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPycha 1.57 / Tuma 2.25
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Pycha)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13128679
Pycha1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 69 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it78% 53 of 68
Tuma2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 167 of 350
Down 0–1, comes back29% 54 of 184
Down 0–2, comes back11% 11 of 97
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePycha9wins
AwayTuma1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPycha leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePycha87.5%7 of 8
AwayTuman = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pycha8Tuma2n = 10Pycha took 8 of 10
S2Pycha6Tuma4n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S3Pycha6Tuma4n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S4Pycha6Tuma1n = 7Pycha took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPychaTumaP − TBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.832.7+6.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPychaTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime493 / 942 vs 765 / 146552.3%52.2%493 / 942 vs 765 / 1465Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PychaPycha 1.57/Tuma 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.1%
Pycha · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 22:00P. Pycha331111113D. Tuma195770
LAug 28 · 22:00P. Pycha361186111D. Tuma4491111133
WAug 15 · 03:30P. Pycha3631111113D. Tuma34117881
WAug 15 · 01:30P. Pycha331111113D. Tuma195770
WAug 14 · 02:30P. Pycha4211911113D. Tuma34811961
WAug 1 · 02:30P. Pycha4211146113D. Tuma399121171
WJul 18 · 01:00P. Pycha341211113D. Tuma2410950
WJul 13 · 22:00P. Pycha491061111113D. Tuma4412118672
WJul 5 · 03:30P. Pycha3711114113D. Tuma28551171
WJul 4 · 22:00P. Pycha46116711113D. Tuma4281111572
P. Pycha10
WSep 14 · 22:00P. Pycha1.671112113M. Volf2.1071060LSep 13 · 03:28P. Pycha1.807101181R. Krejci1.9111123113LSep 13 · 02:00R. Krejci2.101111113P. Pycha1.678130WSep 13 · 24:30P. Pycha1.8311117113M. Vizek1.83971141WSep 12 · 23:00P. Pycha1.839121112113M. Sobisek1.83111461062WSep 12 · 22:00D. Tuma2.105770P. Pycha1.671111113WSep 12 · 02:00V. Cermak2.101071181P. Pycha1.6712115113LSep 12 · 24:30P. Pycha1.57115561R. Krejci2.2591111113LSep 11 · 23:00P. Pycha2.509511101M. Sopko1.5011113123LSep 11 · 22:00S. Kadavy1.73101111123P. Pycha2.001297101
D. Tuma10
LSep 14 · 22:30D. Tuma2.2010116131A. Hlawatschke1.6112411153WSep 14 · 13:30D. Tuma1.431111113F. Just2.607450WSep 14 · 12:00D. Tuma2.10411119123V. Cermak1.67118911102LSep 14 · 11:30M. Vesely2.10711148113D. Tuma1.67116121182WSep 14 · 10:00D. Tuma1.44121114113F. Just2.631481271WSep 13 · 02:30M. Sobisek1.808111181D. Tuma1.9111613113LSep 13 · 01:00R. Krejci2.101111113D. Tuma1.674640LSep 12 · 23:30D. Tuma2.20514131272M. Vizek1.6111121114113LSep 12 · 22:00D. Tuma2.105770P. Pycha1.671111113LSep 9 · 21:00D. Tuma2.2551530M. Pikous1.571117113
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