TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12421895
Played Aug 14Finished
Tomas Janata
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210811118116––
Tomas Varnuska
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:32 and never touched — 60.4% is still 60.4%
Graded at full timeTomas Janata to win
60.4%
60.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Janata above · Tomas Varnuska below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 77 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Tomas Janata at 60.4%
77 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Janata 4–0 Tomas Varnuska Tomas Varnuska has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:32What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Janata
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Janata
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Janata 1643 vs Varnuska 1522
Janata
Correct
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Janata 80% vs Varnuska 40%
Janata
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Janata 70% vs Varnuska 40%
Janata
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Janata +1 · Varnuska +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Janata) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Janata form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJanata 1.50 / Varnuska 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Janata)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12421895
Janata1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 105 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it90% 46 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it78% 74 of 95
Varnuska2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 10 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back23% 3 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back33% 3 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeJanata4wins
AwayVarnuska0wins
2 of 4 to a deciderJanata leads 4–0, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJanata100%3 of 3
AwayVarnuskan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Janata3Varnuska1n = 4Janata took 3 of 4
S2Janata2Varnuska2n = 4split evenly
S3Janata1Varnuska3n = 4Varnuska took 3 of 4
S4Janata4Varnuska0n = 4Janata took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricJanataVarnuskaJ − VBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match45.040.5+4.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJanataVarnuskaBasisWin rate · lifetime442 / 832 vs 55 / 12053.1%45.8%442 / 832 vs 55 / 120Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataJanata 1.50/Varnuska 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Janata won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 14 · 06:00T. Janata4212811113T. Varnuska351011861
WOct 7 · 17:00T. Janata3711114113T. Varnuska32941181
WOct 7 · 16:00T. Janata50118911113T. Varnuska4591111952
WMar 6 · 07:00T. Janata51613912113T. Varnuska501111111072
T. Janata10
WSep 14 · 21:30L. Krticka2.10511111042T. Janata1.67118812113WSep 14 · 20:00T. Janata1.501212113T. Dousa2.50101090LSep 14 · 19:30L. Krticka2.2511118113T. Janata1.57981171WSep 14 · 18:00T. Janata1.8311113113M. Sedlak1.83871161WSep 12 · 03:30T. Janata1.5261111113T. Dousa2.35119991WSep 12 · 02:30T. Janata1.40711611113J. Dedek2.7511711662WSep 12 · 01:30T. Dousa2.381011911112T. Janata1.53127118133WSep 12 · 24:00T. Janata1.501112113J. Plachy2.5081090WSep 11 · 23:00Y. Holovatiuk3.501081121T. Janata1.2812119113WSep 11 · 21:28J. Prokupek2.0081131152T. Janata1.73119116113
T. Varnuska10
LSep 15 · 06:00T. Varnuska2.3871050P. Zmuda1.531112113LAug 14 · 08:59T. Varnuska1.731110761D. Oborny2.0041211113WAug 14 · 08:30T. Varnuska1.80118614113D. Oborny1.91811111232LAug 14 · 07:00T. Varnuska2.2561540J. Stolfa1.571117113WAug 7 · 08:58T. Varnuska1.911111113M. Vedmoch1.806230LAug 7 · 08:00T. Varnuska1.73610100J. Plachy2.001112123WAug 7 · 07:30M. Vedmoch1.576310T. Varnuska2.251111113LAug 7 · 06:00T. Varnuska1.80136741R. Pavelka1.91111111113LJul 21 · 08:58T. Varnuska2.1011114462D. Tuma1.67681111113LJul 21 · 08:00T. Varnuska2.508111111112D. Tuma1.50119137133
Upcoming Matches
T. Janata
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T. Varnuska
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