TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13126014
Played Sep 14Finished
Tomas Janata
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101210119––––
Tomas Dousa
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:43 and never touched — 63.2% is still 63.2%
Graded at full timeTomas Janata to win
63.2%
63.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Janata above · Tomas Dousa below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 64 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Tomas Janata at 63.2%
64 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Janata 21–8 Tomas Dousa Tomas Dousa has won 8 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:43What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Janata
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-8 in 29
Janata
Correct
gap of 13 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Janata 1595 vs Dousa 1498
Janata
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Janata 80% vs Dousa 20%
Janata
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Janata 90% vs Dousa 30%
Janata
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Janata -1 · Dousa -4
Dousa
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Janata) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dousa form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJanata 1.50 / Dousa 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Janata)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13126014
Janata1.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 112 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it91% 51 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it75% 79 of 105
Dousa2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 44 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJanata9wins
AwayDousa1wins
5 of 10 to a deciderJanata leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJanata85.7%6 of 7
AwayDousa0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Janata7Dousa3n = 10Janata took 7 of 10
S2Janata6Dousa4n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S3Janata6Dousa4n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S4Janata6Dousa3n = 9Janata took 6 of 9
S5Janata4Dousa1n = 5Janata took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJanataDousaJ − DBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.938.2+4.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJanataDousaBasisWin rate · lifetime437 / 830 vs 350 / 71052.7%49.3%437 / 830 vs 350 / 710Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataJanata 1.50/Dousa 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Janata won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 03:30T. Janata3961111113T. Dousa38119991
WSep 12 · 01:30T. Janata51127118133T. Dousa521011911112
WSep 11 · 20:00T. Janata50811611143T. Dousa48119115122
WJun 23 · 19:30T. Janata3611311113T. Dousa30711481
WJun 11 · 21:00T. Janata3711114113T. Dousa35891171
LJun 11 · 20:00T. Janata4711691292T. Dousa529111110113
WJun 1 · 20:00T. Janata51911119113T. Dousa4311681172
WJun 1 · 16:00T. Janata331111113T. Dousa163760
WApr 10 · 17:29T. Janata46111185113T. Dousa4249111172
WApr 10 · 15:30T. Janata3911611113T. Dousa26711351
T. Janata10
LSep 14 · 19:30L. Krticka2.2511118113T. Janata1.57981171WSep 14 · 18:00T. Janata1.8311113113M. Sedlak1.83871161WSep 12 · 03:30T. Janata1.5261111113T. Dousa2.35119991WSep 12 · 02:30T. Janata1.40711611113J. Dedek2.7511711662WSep 12 · 01:30T. Dousa2.381011911112T. Janata1.53127118133WSep 12 · 24:00T. Janata1.501112113J. Plachy2.5081090WSep 11 · 23:00Y. Holovatiuk3.501081121T. Janata1.2812119113WSep 11 · 21:28J. Prokupek2.0081131152T. Janata1.73119116113WSep 11 · 20:00T. Janata1.50811611143T. Dousa2.50119115122WSep 11 · 19:30J. Plachy2.5010121031T. Janata1.50121012113
T. Dousa10
LSep 14 · 18:30T. Dousa1.8313961122L. Krticka1.831111118113LSep 12 · 03:30T. Janata1.5261111113T. Dousa2.35119991LSep 12 · 01:30T. Dousa2.381011911112T. Janata1.53127118133WSep 12 · 24:30Y. Holovatiuk2.63121155122T. Dousa1.441041111143LSep 11 · 23:30J. Dedek1.83911811163T. Dousa1.83117117142WSep 11 · 22:30T. Dousa1.831112113J. Plachy1.8371090WSep 11 · 20:58T. Dousa2.1091112113J. Plachy1.671191081LSep 11 · 20:00T. Janata1.50811611143T. Dousa2.50119115122LSep 11 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.00971111113T. Dousa1.7311116992WSep 11 · 18:30T. Dousa1.8381111113J. Plachy1.83118981
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