TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12432470
Played Aug 14Finished
Tomas Varnuska
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1141012711611––
Dominik Oborny
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingTomas Varnuska above · Dominik Oborny below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 72 set 4, 6-11
72 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Varnuska 1–0 Dominik Oborny Dominik Oborny has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Varnuska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Varnuska form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarnuska 1.73 / Oborny 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Varnuska)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12432470
Varnuska1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 14 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Oborny2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog40% won 57 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back22% 18 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVarnuska1wins
AwayOborny0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderVarnuska leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVarnuskaObornyV − OBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match50.045.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarnuskaObornyBasisWin rate · lifetime55 / 119 vs 293 / 57646.2%50.9%55 / 119 vs 293 / 576Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VarnuskaVarnuska 1.73/Oborny 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Varnuska · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Oborny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 14 · 08:30T. Varnuska50118614113D. Oborny45811111232
T. Varnuska10
LSep 15 · 06:00T. Varnuska2.3871050P. Zmuda1.531112113WAug 14 · 08:30T. Varnuska1.80118614113D. Oborny1.91811111232LAug 14 · 07:00T. Varnuska2.2561540J. Stolfa1.571117113LAug 14 · 06:00T. Janata1.5012811113T. Varnuska2.501011861WAug 7 · 08:58T. Varnuska1.911111113M. Vedmoch1.806230LAug 7 · 08:00T. Varnuska1.73610100J. Plachy2.001112123WAug 7 · 07:30M. Vedmoch1.576310T. Varnuska2.251111113LAug 7 · 06:00T. Varnuska1.80136741R. Pavelka1.91111111113LJul 21 · 08:58T. Varnuska2.1011114462D. Tuma1.67681111113LJul 21 · 08:00T. Varnuska2.508111111112D. Tuma1.50119137133
D. Oborny10
WSep 14 · 17:03D. Oborny1.8311611113D. Machander1.83711981LSep 14 · 16:30S. Byrtus2.251215134113D. Oborny1.571017111172WSep 14 · 15:30D. Oborny2.501112113D. Machander1.5091070LSep 14 · 14:30R. Skacelik1.671191211113D. Oborny2.1081114272LSep 8 · 08:58M. Heczko2.001111610113D. Oborny1.7399111272LSep 8 · 08:30D. Oborny1.80971171M. Heczko1.9111118113LSep 8 · 07:00D. Oborny1.91115591J. Levicky1.8061111113WSep 8 · 06:00P. Danko1.831211881D. Oborny1.8314811113WSep 7 · 09:28D. Oborny1.80116911113M. Heczko1.9191111892LAug 14 · 08:30T. Varnuska1.80118614113D. Oborny1.91811111232
Upcoming Matches
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D. Oborny
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