Richard Skacelik vs Dominik Oborny 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13128635

Played Sep 14Finished

Richard Skacelik

Home

1.67

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1189111214112117

Dominik Oborny

Away

2.10

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Richard Skacelik to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingRichard Skacelik above · Dominik Oborny below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 12-14

Set 4 · 11-2

Set 5 · 11-7

Point 96 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Richard Skacelik at 54.0%

96 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 10:01

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Skacelik

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Skacelik 1634 vs Oborny 1614

Skacelik

Correct

both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Skacelik 40% vs Oborny 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Skacelik 60% vs Oborny 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Skacelik -1 · Oborny -3

Oborny

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Skacelik) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Skacelik form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSkacelik 1.67 / Oborny 2.10

Signal prob.56% / 44%

Edge (Skacelik)+0.0pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13128635

Skacelik1.67

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite57% won 57 of 100

Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31

Up 1–0, closes it67% 40 of 60

Oborny2.10

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog40% won 46 of 115

Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 71

Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricSkacelikObornyBasisWin rate · lifetime212 / 445 vs 317 / 61347.6%51.7%212 / 445 vs 317 / 613Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.737.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Skacelik

Skacelik 1.67/Oborny 2.10

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

55.8%

Skacelik · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Skacelik won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

R. Skacelik10