TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13103396
Played Sep 10Finished
Tomas Petrek
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911411––––
Richard Skacelik
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRichard Skacelik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Petrek above · Richard Skacelik below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 51 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Richard Skacelik at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Petrek 7–6 Richard Skacelik Richard Skacelik has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Petrek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Petrek 1623 vs Skacelik 1676
Skacelik
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Petrek 40% vs Skacelik 60%
Skacelik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Petrek 40% vs Skacelik 70%
Skacelik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Petrek -2 · Skacelik +3
Skacelik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Petrek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skacelik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPetrek 1.67 / Skacelik 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Petrek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13103396
Petrek1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 34 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it77% 27 of 35
Skacelik2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 86 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back25% 25 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePetrek5wins
AwaySkacelik5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePetrek80%4 of 5
AwaySkacelik80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Petrek5Skacelik5n = 10split evenly
S2Petrek5Skacelik5n = 10split evenly
S3Petrek4Skacelik6n = 10Skacelik took 6 of 10
S4Petrek5Skacelik1n = 6Petrek took 5 of 6
S5Petrek2Skacelik3n = 5Skacelik took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPetrekSkacelikP − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.540.3−2.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPetrekSkacelikBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 226 vs 210 / 43950.4%47.8%114 / 226 vs 210 / 439Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetrekPetrek 1.67/Skacelik 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Petrek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skacelik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 08:00T. Petrek—5940R. Skacelik—1111113
WAug 7 · 11:00T. Petrek—1171211113R. Skacelik—91114752
WAug 6 · 13:00T. Petrek—1211113R. Skacelik—10690
LAug 6 · 11:00T. Petrek—85111382R. Skacelik—1111911113
WJul 31 · 18:30T. Petrek—11113103R. Skacelik—891191
LJul 30 · 18:30T. Petrek—118101142R. Skacelik—911129113
WJul 17 · 08:30T. Petrek—912511113R. Skacelik—111011682
LApr 29 · 11:00T. Petrek—1011111112R. Skacelik—127913113
LApr 21 · 14:30T. Petrek—39100R. Skacelik—1111123
WApr 2 · 15:30T. Petrek—1111113R. Skacelik—9970
T. Petrek10
WSep 10 · 09:00D. Machander1.831111951T. Petrek1.8313811113LSep 10 · 06:00T. Petrek1.677970J. Cabak2.101111113LAug 28 · 13:30J. Hutnik1.5061111113T. Petrek2.50116331WAug 28 · 12:30L. Martinak1.737138111T. Petrek2.00111111133LAug 28 · 11:30T. Petrek2.386690J. Hutnik1.531111113WAug 28 · 10:30J. Simecek1.67111061262T. Petrek2.109121110113LAug 27 · 09:00T. Petrek1.911012491J. Hutnik1.80121011113LAug 27 · 08:00J. Simecek1.73411711113T. Petrek2.0011711792LAug 27 · 07:00L. Martinak1.8311115113T. Petrek1.83381191WAug 27 · 06:30T. Petrek2.75111465113J. Hutnik1.40512111182
R. Skacelik10
WSep 10 · 07:00J. Cabak2.1016351152R. Skacelik1.651411118113WSep 9 · 13:00S. Kysely1.619119111R. Skacelik2.2011511133WSep 9 · 12:00R. Skacelik1.531111113S. Byrtus2.385490LSep 9 · 11:30J. Schwan1.91511116123R. Skacelik1.80119311102LSep 9 · 10:00R. Skacelik1.737890S. Kysely2.001111113WSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730WSep 6 · 15:30J. Levicky2.25115861R. Skacelik1.5761111113LSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113WSep 2 · 17:00J. Stoch1.6711135892R. Skacelik2.104111111113
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