TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098915
Played Sep 9Finished
Richard Skacelik
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115114119––––
Samuel Byrtus
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:27 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeRichard Skacelik to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRichard Skacelik above · Samuel Byrtus below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 51 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Richard Skacelik at 61.2%
51 points played in total.
H2H Richard Skacelik 5–3 Samuel Byrtus Samuel Byrtus has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:27What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Skacelik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Skacelik
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skacelik 1616 vs Byrtus 1607
Skacelik
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skacelik 60% vs Byrtus 40%
Skacelik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skacelik 40% vs Byrtus 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skacelik -2 · Byrtus +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Skacelik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkacelik 1.53 / Byrtus 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Skacelik)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098915
Skacelik1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 68 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it68% 49 of 72
Byrtus2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog46% won 74 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back29% 26 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSkacelik5wins
AwayByrtus3wins
2 of 8 to a deciderSkacelik leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkacelik60%3 of 5
AwayByrtus33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skacelik5Byrtus3n = 8Skacelik took 5 of 8
S2Skacelik5Byrtus3n = 8Skacelik took 5 of 8
S3Skacelik7Byrtus1n = 8Skacelik took 7 of 8
S4Skacelik3Byrtus3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricSkacelikByrtusS − BBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match38.934.0+4.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkacelikByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 435 vs 297 / 57847.4%51.4%206 / 435 vs 297 / 578Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkacelikSkacelik 1.53/Byrtus 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Skacelik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Skacelik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 19 · 13:28R. Skacelik—11411372S. Byrtus—811811113
WAug 19 · 12:00R. Skacelik—1111113S. Byrtus—3870
LJul 24 · 12:58R. Skacelik—8711111S. Byrtus—11118133
WJul 24 · 12:00R. Skacelik—1111113S. Byrtus—9490
WJul 13 · 17:04R. Skacelik—81111113S. Byrtus—115361
WJul 13 · 14:30R. Skacelik—81111133S. Byrtus—1172111
LJul 2 · 06:00R. Skacelik—11118992S. Byrtus—791111113
WMay 21 · 10:30R. Skacelik—11711113S. Byrtus—911691
R. Skacelik10
WSep 9 · 13:00S. Kysely1.619119111R. Skacelik2.2011511133LSep 9 · 11:30J. Schwan1.91511116123R. Skacelik1.80119311102LSep 9 · 10:00R. Skacelik1.737890S. Kysely2.001111113WSep 6 · 17:29D. Langer1.8016711972R. Skacelik1.911411911113WSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730WSep 6 · 15:30J. Levicky2.25115861R. Skacelik1.5761111113LSep 6 · 14:00R. Skacelik1.6741171162D. Langer2.10115116113WSep 2 · 17:00J. Stoch1.6711135892R. Skacelik2.104111111113LSep 2 · 16:00L. Martinak2.0011111113R. Skacelik1.73911881LSep 2 · 15:00J. Schwan1.8381111133R. Skacelik1.831195111
S. Byrtus10
WSep 9 · 13:30J. Schwan1.61119961S. Byrtus2.2041111113WSep 9 · 11:00S. Kysely1.6111541292S. Byrtus2.206111110113WSep 9 · 10:30S. Byrtus2.38511148123J. Schwan1.531161211102LSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572LSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:00A. Walek2.0011911123S. Byrtus1.738116101LSep 2 · 14:30S. Byrtus1.73211661D. Langer2.0011911113WSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 08:00L. Martinak1.83113101172S. Byrtus1.83711126113LSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171
Upcoming Matches
R. Skacelik
S. Byrtus
Nothing scheduled
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