TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098199
Played Sep 9Finished
Samuel Byrtus
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
51111614128111210
Jaroslav Schwan
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:29 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Schwan to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSamuel Byrtus above · Jaroslav Schwan below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 100 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Jaroslav Schwan at 55.7%
100 points played in total.
H2H Samuel Byrtus 2–7 Jaroslav Schwan Samuel Byrtus has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:29What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Schwan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-7 in 9
Schwan
Wrong
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Byrtus 1586 vs Schwan 1520
Byrtus
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Byrtus 20% vs Schwan 0%
Byrtus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Byrtus 40% vs Schwan 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Byrtus -4 · Schwan -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Schwan) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schwan form (0%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsByrtus 2.38 / Schwan 1.53
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Byrtus)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098199
Byrtus2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 74 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back29% 26 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 46
Schwan1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 45 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it78% 31 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeByrtus2wins
AwaySchwan7wins
Schwan leads 7–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeByrtus33.3%1 of 3
AwaySchwan83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Byrtus3Schwan6n = 9Schwan took 6 of 9
S2Byrtus1Schwan8n = 9Schwan took 8 of 9
S3Byrtus2Schwan7n = 9Schwan took 7 of 9
S4Byrtus2Schwan2n = 4split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away556%
These 9 meetings
MetricByrtusSchwanB − SBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match26.135.0−8.9per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricByrtusSchwanBasisWin rate · lifetime299 / 584 vs 122 / 26251.2%46.6%299 / 584 vs 122 / 262Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchwanByrtus 2.38/Schwan 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58%
Schwan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Byrtus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 17 · 18:00S. Byrtus—101111113J. Schwan—129751
LJul 22 · 11:00S. Byrtus—9440J. Schwan—1111113
LMay 29 · 09:30S. Byrtus—119141J. Schwan—71111113
LMay 29 · 06:00S. Byrtus—12780J. Schwan—1411113
LMay 27 · 06:00S. Byrtus—5760J. Schwan—1111113
LMay 21 · 12:30S. Byrtus—4770J. Schwan—1111113
LMay 15 · 17:30S. Byrtus—113691J. Schwan—91111113
WMay 15 · 14:30S. Byrtus—11311133J. Schwan—5115111
LMay 14 · 19:00S. Byrtus—6950J. Schwan—1111113
S. Byrtus10
WSep 9 · 13:30J. Schwan1.61119961S. Byrtus2.2041111113LSep 9 · 12:00R. Skacelik1.531111113S. Byrtus2.385490WSep 9 · 11:00S. Kysely1.6111541292S. Byrtus2.206111110113LSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572LSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:00A. Walek2.0011911123S. Byrtus1.738116101LSep 2 · 14:30S. Byrtus1.73211661D. Langer2.0011911113WSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 08:00L. Martinak1.83113101172S. Byrtus1.83711126113LSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171
J. Schwan10
LSep 9 · 13:30J. Schwan1.61119961S. Byrtus2.2041111113WSep 9 · 12:30S. Kysely1.731181151J. Schwan2.0071113113WSep 9 · 11:30J. Schwan1.91511116123R. Skacelik1.80119311102LSep 6 · 16:59J. Levicky3.401312113J. Schwan1.30111080LSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik1.831311113J. Schwan1.8311730LSep 6 · 15:00D. Langer1.9114511113J. Schwan1.801211561LSep 6 · 14:30J. Schwan1.2811870J. Levicky3.501311113LSep 2 · 17:30L. Martinak1.80119114113J. Schwan1.8081151192WSep 2 · 16:30J. Schwan1.361111113J. Stoch3.007840WSep 2 · 15:00J. Schwan1.8381111133R. Skacelik1.831195111
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