TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098829
Played Sep 9Finished
Stepan Kysely
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1165114111210911
Samuel Byrtus
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:20 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeStepan Kysely to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingStepan Kysely above · Samuel Byrtus below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 90 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Stepan Kysely at 62.5%
90 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Kysely 1–1 Samuel Byrtus Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:20What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kysely
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kysely 1627 vs Byrtus 1581
Kysely
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kysely 60% vs Byrtus 20%
Kysely
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kysely 60% vs Byrtus 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kysely +1 · Byrtus +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kysely) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Byrtus form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKysely 1.61 / Byrtus 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Kysely)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098829
Kysely1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 30 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it78% 25 of 32
Byrtus2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 74 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back29% 26 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKysely1wins
AwayByrtus1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKyselyByrtusK − BBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match41.042.5−1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKyselyByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 133 vs 297 / 57956.4%51.3%75 / 133 vs 297 / 579Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyselyKysely 1.61/Byrtus 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Kysely · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Byrtus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 9 · 11:00S. Kysely—11541292S. Byrtus—6111110113
WJul 10 · 07:00S. Kysely—81111113S. Byrtus—119971
S. Kysely10
LSep 9 · 12:30S. Kysely1.731181151J. Schwan2.0071113113WSep 9 · 10:00R. Skacelik1.737890S. Kysely2.001111113LJul 7 · 13:30M. Vedmoch1.9013115113S. Kysely1.801181171WJul 7 · 12:00S. Kysely1.831111113J. Simecek1.837860LJul 7 · 11:30M. Vedmoch1.83101111113S. Kysely1.83129591WJul 7 · 10:00S. Kysely1.8313612113V. Hampejs1.8311111041WJul 7 · 08:59S. Kysely1.8311118143J. Simecek1.837711121LJul 7 · 08:30S. Kysely1.5751113972R. Pavelka2.251151111113LJul 7 · 07:00S. Kysely1.6197111152M. Vedmoch2.20111176113WJul 7 · 06:00J. Simecek1.8311119742S. Kysely1.83531111113
S. Byrtus10
LSep 9 · 12:00R. Skacelik1.531111113S. Byrtus2.385490WSep 9 · 10:30S. Byrtus2.38511148123J. Schwan1.531161211102LSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572LSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:00A. Walek2.0011911123S. Byrtus1.738116101LSep 2 · 14:30S. Byrtus1.73211661D. Langer2.0011911113WSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 08:00L. Martinak1.83113101172S. Byrtus1.83711126113LSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171WSep 1 · 06:30S. Byrtus2.001111113J. Snr1.738770
Upcoming Matches
S. Kysely
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S. Byrtus
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