TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12175065
Played Jul 7Finished
Stepan Kysely
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5111151311911711
Radim Pavelka
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingStepan Kysely above · Radim Pavelka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 94 set 5, 7-11
94 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Kysely 3–3 Radim Pavelka Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kysely)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKysely 1.57 / Pavelka 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kysely)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12175065
Kysely1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 33 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it80% 28 of 35
Pavelka2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 92 of 215
Down 0–1, comes back24% 28 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKysely3wins
AwayPavelka3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKysely75%3 of 4
AwayPavelkan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kysely4Pavelka2n = 6Kysely took 4 of 6
S2Kysely4Pavelka2n = 6Kysely took 4 of 6
S3Kysely3Pavelka3n = 6split evenly
S4Kysely2Pavelka2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKyselyPavelkaK − PBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match39.534.8+4.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKyselyPavelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 162 vs 581 / 117156.8%49.6%92 / 162 vs 581 / 1171Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyselyKysely 1.57/Pavelka 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Kysely · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pavelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJul 5 · 07:00S. Kysely—11119113R. Pavelka—941151
LOct 26 · 19:00S. Kysely—716111182R. Pavelka—111885113
WJul 29 · 10:30S. Kysely—1111113R. Pavelka—5290
LJul 28 · 18:30S. Kysely—9111091R. Pavelka—11612113
WJul 28 · 06:00S. Kysely—1211123R. Pavelka—105100
LJul 27 · 01:30S. Kysely—159831R. Pavelka—131111113
S. Kysely10
LJul 7 · 13:30M. Vedmoch1.9013115113S. Kysely1.801181171WJul 7 · 12:00S. Kysely1.831111113J. Simecek1.837860LJul 7 · 11:30M. Vedmoch1.83101111113S. Kysely1.83129591WJul 7 · 10:00S. Kysely1.8313612113V. Hampejs1.8311111041WJul 7 · 08:59S. Kysely1.8311118143J. Simecek1.837711121LJul 7 · 07:00S. Kysely1.6197111152M. Vedmoch2.20111176113WJul 7 · 06:00J. Simecek1.8311119742S. Kysely1.83531111113WJul 6 · 20:58S. Kysely1.171211113L. Krok4.5010460WJul 6 · 20:00S. Kysely1.281111113L. Krok3.503880LJul 6 · 19:30J. Prokupek2.20711118113S. Kysely1.6111871192
R. Pavelka10
WSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113LSep 6 · 20:00R. Pavelka1.611015561J. Trefny2.20121311113LSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781WSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121LSep 5 · 09:30J. Svoboda1.361111113R. Pavelka3.008550LSep 5 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.2581111113R. Pavelka3.75117471WSep 5 · 07:30R. Pavelka2.251161111113T. Holik1.5751113792WSep 5 · 06:30M. Sedlak1.806780R. Pavelka1.911111113LSep 4 · 17:30F. Just1.301311113R. Pavelka3.4011930WSep 4 · 16:00R. Pavelka1.7313115113D. Parhomenko2.001151191
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