Stepan Kysely vs Jakub Simecek 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #12179549

Played Jul 7Finished

Stepan Kysely

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1171178111412––

Jakub Simecek

Away

1.83

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 3

How it is goingStepan Kysely above · Jakub Simecek below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 14-12

Point 81 set 4, 14-12

81 points played in total.

H2H Stepan Kysely 7–8 Jakub Simecek Stepan Kysely has won 7 of their 15 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kysely)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Simecek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKysely 1.83 / Simecek 1.83

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Kysely)+4.0pp

Czech Liga Pro · #12179549

Kysely1.83

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

Simecek1.83

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKysely4wins

AwaySimecek6wins

6 of 10 to a deciderSimecek leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKysely75%3 of 4

AwaySimecek83.3%5 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kysely4Simecek6n = 10Simecek took 6 of 10

S2Kysely2Simecek8n = 10Simecek took 8 of 10

S3Kysely6Simecek4n = 10Kysely took 6 of 10

S4Kysely5Simecek4n = 9Kysely took 5 of 9

S5Kysely3Simecek3n = 6split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricKyselySimecekK − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.444.4−1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKyselySimecekBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 162 vs 120 / 22256.8%54.1%92 / 162 vs 120 / 222Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Kysely

Kysely 1.83/Simecek 1.83

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Kysely · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Kysely won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WJul 7 · 06:00S. Kysely—531111113J. Simecek—11119742

LJul 6 · 18:00S. Kysely—111091282J. Simecek—8121110113

LJul 6 · 01:00S. Kysely—1114791J. Simecek—131211113

WJul 4 · 20:00S. Kysely—11911123J. Simecek—3112101

LApr 2 · 06:00S. Kysely—9151161J. Simecek—11178113

LMar 18 · 17:00S. Kysely—11640J. Simecek—1311113

WFeb 19 · 18:30S. Kysely—114117143J. Simecek—311911122

WFeb 19 · 15:30S. Kysely—118511163J. Simecek—911118142

LOct 25 · 17:30S. Kysely—139111182J. Simecek—151187103

LOct 25 · 14:00S. Kysely—81111892J. Simecek—116611113

S. Kysely10

LJul 7 · 13:30M. Vedmoch1.9013115113S. Kysely1.801181171 WJul 7 · 12:00S. Kysely1.831111113J. Simecek1.837860 LJul 7 · 11:30M. Vedmoch1.83101111113S. Kysely1.83129591 WJul 7 · 10:00S. Kysely1.8313612113V. Hampejs1.8311111041 LJul 7 · 08:30S. Kysely1.5751113972R. Pavelka2.251151111113 LJul 7 · 07:00S. Kysely1.6197111152M. Vedmoch2.20111176113 WJul 7 · 06:00J. Simecek1.8311119742S. Kysely1.83531111113 WJul 6 · 20:58S. Kysely1.171211113L. Krok4.5010460 WJul 6 · 20:00S. Kysely1.281111113L. Krok3.503880 LJul 6 · 19:30J. Prokupek2.20711118113S. Kysely1.6111871192

J. Simecek10

WSep 3 · 16:58D. Unzeitig1.91121181342J. Simecek1.801421111113 LSep 3 · 16:30J. Simecek1.80111013101D. Unzeitig1.9191215123 LSep 3 · 15:00J. Simecek2.3898110T. Kypr1.531111133 LSep 3 · 14:00M. Bereiter1.7391115113J. Simecek2.001191391 WAug 28 · 12:59L. Martinak1.251181110102J. Simecek3.75511912123 LAug 28 · 12:00J. Hutnik1.501111113J. Simecek2.506950 LAug 28 · 11:00L. Martinak1.831112113J. Simecek1.8331030 LAug 28 · 10:30J. Simecek1.67111061262T. Petrek2.109121110113 LJul 7 · 12:00S. Kysely1.831111113J. Simecek1.837860 LJul 7 · 06:00J. Simecek1.8311119742S. Kysely1.83531111113

Event Chatroom

This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.